NVIDIA
Long

NVDA: Week of Aug 11

505
Expectations for NVDA is.. shocker.. continuation up .

Here is the summary of what to know for next week on NVDA:

Forecasts
  • Weekly 30 minute: bullish, trending up after initial consolidation into beginning of week.
  • Weekly hourly: bullish trending up.
  • Daily for Monday: Rally off open but fades and consolidates for the day. Consistent between 1-minute and 5-minute forecasts.


Fibs

snapshot

183 is 0% retracement, expect initial resistance here.

Chart Patterns

Bullish adam eve on the hourly formed, with TP listed in chart.

Math Projections

In addition to forecast, the following are modelled projections for next week:

  • Projected high: 191.65
  • Projected low: 179.73
  • Reference target (modelled target) 184 with a 70% hit rate, so watch that. Open above it, its a bearish target. Open below it, its a bullish target.


Options:
  • Flow alert on a really random ITM 2.0 contract of 614.7K premium with 2026-01-06 expiry.
  • Put/call skew PUTs 19.6% / CALLs 80.4%
  • Also 1.59 Mil in premiums on the 120 strike
  • Implied high: 191.50
  • Implied low: 173.89


CPI and PPI into Tuesday and Wednesday so be watchful of that.

Just sharing observations and projections, not advice.

Safe trades!

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