New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen
Short
Updated

Unsustained Breakout Failure Play on NZDJPY

103
See Signposts for key price action details.
  • 75.5 level unlikely to hold supported. Payoff is greater on the downside as level looks to invalidate.
  • Position size reduced as this is counter-fundamentals
  • NZD is a relatively stronger currency as new Zealand's Q4 unemployment hints at V-shape recovery potential.
  • On the other hand, Japan is one of three countries at risk of a double-dip recession. While all central banks are looking to keep their currencies at relatively lower values, this will be more so the case with BOJ.
Note
Note: Ideas published represent my viewpoints on anticipated structural directional moves. I do not post trade parameters (i.e. entry, take profit, stop loss, alternative exit points, etc.) as actual execution may differ from the respective trade idea published. My trades evolve around my expectancy with certain planned R-multiple and win rate. Use as your own discretion.
Note
Momentum died off rather quickly after hitting the expected 75.3 area.

snapshot

This will still be in an interesting pair to keep an eye on for the weeks ahead.

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