🔹 Pair: NZD/JPY
🔹 Timeframe: Daily
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Price holding Fib 0.786 retracement level (bullish structure intact)
🔹 Entry Zone: ~85.50–85.60 (Live entry)
📊 Fundamental Confluence
🇳🇿 NZD – Bullish Momentum
Conditional Score Jump: 🚀 From 8 → 13 (Strongest improvement this week).
Seasonality: 🔼 Strong seasonal bias from mid-May onward.
CB Stance: Hawkish — RBNZ cautious but maintains restrictive policy.
Global Risk-On: VIX < 20 supports high-beta currencies like NZD.
🇯🇵 JPY – Weakening
BoJ Outlook: Delayed inflation target to 2027 = no urgency to tighten.
Score Flat: Minor improvement (11 → 12), not enough to change bias.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven demand dropping, weakening JPY.
Macro Drag: Japan underperforming vs G7 counterparts.
🔹 Timeframe: Daily
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Price holding Fib 0.786 retracement level (bullish structure intact)
🔹 Entry Zone: ~85.50–85.60 (Live entry)
📊 Fundamental Confluence
🇳🇿 NZD – Bullish Momentum
Conditional Score Jump: 🚀 From 8 → 13 (Strongest improvement this week).
Seasonality: 🔼 Strong seasonal bias from mid-May onward.
CB Stance: Hawkish — RBNZ cautious but maintains restrictive policy.
Global Risk-On: VIX < 20 supports high-beta currencies like NZD.
🇯🇵 JPY – Weakening
BoJ Outlook: Delayed inflation target to 2027 = no urgency to tighten.
Score Flat: Minor improvement (11 → 12), not enough to change bias.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven demand dropping, weakening JPY.
Macro Drag: Japan underperforming vs G7 counterparts.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.