NZDJPY SELL TRADE PLAN

120
๐Ÿงญ NZDJPY TRADE PLAN
๐Ÿ“… Date: April 2, 2025

๐Ÿ”– Plan Type: Main Swing Trade โ€“ Bearish Reversal

๐Ÿ“ˆ Bias & Trade Type:
Trend Continuation Sell after Pullback into H4 Supply Zone

๐Ÿ”ฐ Confidence Level: โญโญโญโญ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
โ€“ D1 bearish trend with LH/LL structure intact
โ€“ H4 OB + imbalance at premium level
โ€“ Liquidity sweep on H1 prior to rejection
โ€“ Clear exhaustion candles on H1
โ€“ Risk-off tone supporting JPY strength

๐Ÿ“Œ Status:
Awaiting first-time tap into the H4 supply zone โ€“ trade not yet triggered

๐ŸŸฅ โ–ฃ Primary Sell Zone: 86.05 โ€“ 86.25
(H4 OB + imbalance fill + stop hunt confluence)

๐ŸŸง โ–ฃ Secondary Sell Zone: 86.55 โ€“ 86.70
(Final sweep area above H4 equal highs + D1 imbalance top)

โ— Stop Loss: 86.85
(Above all liquidity + structure invalidation)

๐ŸŽฏ Take Profits:
TP1: 85.25 ๐Ÿฅ‰ (H1 demand flip zone)
TP2: 84.65 ๐Ÿฅˆ (H4 range midpoint + prior reaction low)
TP3: 83.90 ๐Ÿ† (D1 equal lows & trend continuation target)

๐Ÿ“ Risk:Reward: Approx. 1:3.5
(Tightly defined risk, multi-R target path)

๐Ÿง  MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
โ€“ SL to BE after TP1 hit
โ€“ Secure partials at TP2
โ€“ Trail below H1 LH structure to TP3

โš ๏ธ Confirmation Criteria:
โ€“ Bearish engulfing or pin bar on M30โ€“H1
โ€“ Entry only with rejection wick or volume spike
โ€“ Optional: MACD or RSI bearish divergence

โณ Validity:
Valid for 1โ€“3 days.
โŒ Invalidate if price closes above 86.85 on H1 or breaks HTF bearish structure.

๐ŸŒ Fundamentals:
โœ… JPY supported by mild risk-off environment
โœ… NZD under pressure due to weaker dairy outlook
โœ… No major data expected in next 24h = clean window

๐Ÿ“‹ Final Summary:
NZDJPY remains in bearish structure. Looking to enter a clean risk-defined short from premium H4 supply zones after liquidity sweep and OB rejection. This aligns with macro sentiment and volume exhaustion at highs. Plan allows tactical re-entry if first zone missed.
Trade active
tp1 almost hit, trade secured, aggressive selling from metioned zones.
Trade closed: target reached
TP2 HIT - ON TO HIT TP3

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