NZD/USD possible medium term scenario

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This seems to be a possible future scenario at this point - given recent USD strength, a correcting NZX, and downward pressure on commodities. I would say this is 97% technical analysis with a tiny bit of fundamental analysis sprinkled in for colour.

The last ending triangle at the bottom trendline broke upwards with conviction, I would expect this to do the same. It may reach the upper TL - if it falls short this would be a telling signal. Then possibly form another ABC that ends up breaking the lower TL.

No specifics or targets in this analysis. I am publishing it to see how closely reality tracks the analysis that I did over about 10 minutes.

Summary; short term long (if the triangle breaks upwards) and medium term short.

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