🔥 Pair: NZD/USD | Date: 13 May 2025
📋 Plan Overview
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Intraday SELL 🔶 87% ~1:3.0 🟢 Active Plan
📈 Market Bias & Type
* Market Bias: Bearish
* Type: Continuation sell setup from premium retracement zones (H1/H4 aligned with D1 lower high structure)
* Structure: Lower highs/lows forming post D1 rejection + bearish order flow
🔰 Confidence Level: 87% High Probability
Element Weight
HTF Bias (D1 + H4) ✅ 25%
OB + FVG Confluence (H1/H4) ✅ 20%
Liquidity Sweeps ✅ 15%
H1 Candle Structure ✅ 15%
Clean Range to Downside ✅ 12%
Volume + Session Context ✅ 10%
📍 Entry Zones
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.5905 – 0.5922
* Location: H1 Order Block + H4 Imbalance + Pre-sweep rejection base
* Reason: Clean OB + EQH sweep; ideal reaction + compression zone
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.5938 – 0.5953
* Location: D1 FVG edge + Final stop-hunt zone above major EQHs
* Note: Only if price aggressively sweeps primary with no rejection
❗ Stop Loss (SL)
* Above Secondary Zone high: 0.5965
* Reason: Protects against deep liquidity sweep beyond unmitigated OBs
🎯 Targets
TP Level Price Reason
🎯 TP1 0.5860 Mid-range H1 structure zone
🎯 TP2 0.5828 H4 FVG low + clean inefficiency
🎯 TP3 0.5790 D1 range base + March 2024 EQ lows
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5% max if only Primary; if both zones possible, staggered 0.25% each
* Scaling: Allow partial fill on reaction candles
* Breakeven: Secure at TP1 with tight trailing thereafter
* Re-Entry: Only if price returns to zone post-BOS + lower high
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist (REQUIRED)
Confirmation Status
H1 Bearish Engulfing Awaiting
Volume Spike (US) Awaiting
EQH Sweep Liquidity ✅ Seen
Rejection Candle Awaiting
London/NY Session Preferred for activation
⏳ Validity
* H1 Setup Validity: 12–16 hours from issuance
* H4 Structure Alignment Valid: up to 48h
❌ Invalidation
* Price closes firmly above 0.5965 on H1 candle or
* Market structure shifts bullish with BOS + HL + high-volume breakout
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* USD: Mildly strong due to recent NFP and CPI beats
* NZD: Weak macro prints, fading RBNZ tone
* Risk Sentiment: Slight risk-off tone — favoring USD strength
📋 Final Trade Summary
* Trade Type: Structured HTF-aligned intraday/swing sell
* Plan Logic: Sell retracement into key supply zones, following multi-timeframe bearish structure
* Trigger Requirement: Tap + confirmation only (NOT pre-entry)
📋 Plan Overview
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Intraday SELL 🔶 87% ~1:3.0 🟢 Active Plan
📈 Market Bias & Type
* Market Bias: Bearish
* Type: Continuation sell setup from premium retracement zones (H1/H4 aligned with D1 lower high structure)
* Structure: Lower highs/lows forming post D1 rejection + bearish order flow
🔰 Confidence Level: 87% High Probability
Element Weight
HTF Bias (D1 + H4) ✅ 25%
OB + FVG Confluence (H1/H4) ✅ 20%
Liquidity Sweeps ✅ 15%
H1 Candle Structure ✅ 15%
Clean Range to Downside ✅ 12%
Volume + Session Context ✅ 10%
📍 Entry Zones
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.5905 – 0.5922
* Location: H1 Order Block + H4 Imbalance + Pre-sweep rejection base
* Reason: Clean OB + EQH sweep; ideal reaction + compression zone
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.5938 – 0.5953
* Location: D1 FVG edge + Final stop-hunt zone above major EQHs
* Note: Only if price aggressively sweeps primary with no rejection
❗ Stop Loss (SL)
* Above Secondary Zone high: 0.5965
* Reason: Protects against deep liquidity sweep beyond unmitigated OBs
🎯 Targets
TP Level Price Reason
🎯 TP1 0.5860 Mid-range H1 structure zone
🎯 TP2 0.5828 H4 FVG low + clean inefficiency
🎯 TP3 0.5790 D1 range base + March 2024 EQ lows
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5% max if only Primary; if both zones possible, staggered 0.25% each
* Scaling: Allow partial fill on reaction candles
* Breakeven: Secure at TP1 with tight trailing thereafter
* Re-Entry: Only if price returns to zone post-BOS + lower high
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist (REQUIRED)
Confirmation Status
H1 Bearish Engulfing Awaiting
Volume Spike (US) Awaiting
EQH Sweep Liquidity ✅ Seen
Rejection Candle Awaiting
London/NY Session Preferred for activation
⏳ Validity
* H1 Setup Validity: 12–16 hours from issuance
* H4 Structure Alignment Valid: up to 48h
❌ Invalidation
* Price closes firmly above 0.5965 on H1 candle or
* Market structure shifts bullish with BOS + HL + high-volume breakout
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* USD: Mildly strong due to recent NFP and CPI beats
* NZD: Weak macro prints, fading RBNZ tone
* Risk Sentiment: Slight risk-off tone — favoring USD strength
📋 Final Trade Summary
* Trade Type: Structured HTF-aligned intraday/swing sell
* Plan Logic: Sell retracement into key supply zones, following multi-timeframe bearish structure
* Trigger Requirement: Tap + confirmation only (NOT pre-entry)
Order cancelled
NO CONFIRMATIONS, PRICE INVALIDATED THE SETUP!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.