PENGU / TetherUS
Long

PENGU = ETF Catalyst + Whale Accumulation = +30% More Upside?

2 179
Today, on the weekend, I want to analyze the Pudgy Penguins project with the PENGU(PENGUUSDT) token from a fundamental and technical perspective.

Please stay with me.

Why did PENGU surge nearly 40% in just 48 hours? Here’s what’s driving it:
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Fundamental Analysis:

1.ETF Momentum via Cboe:

On June 26, Cboe officially filed a 19b-4 form for a new ETF that includes Pudgy Penguins and PENGU as major components.

Although not yet approved, this single move has fueled strong institutional anticipation, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs in early 2023.

The market often prices in future narratives — and this ETF storyline has been a powerful one.


2.Whale Accumulation Signals

According to Nansen data, large holders have increased their balances by 11.37%, and notable wallets linked to public figures by 7% over the last 30 days.

Such coordinated accumulation often precedes major price moves, and that pattern seems to be repeating here.

3.NFT Ecosystem Boost

The Pudgy Penguins NFT collection saw a 400%+ surge in sales volume.

This sharp increase in NFT activity has reignited attention toward the broader Pudgy ecosystem, which naturally benefits its native token, PENGU.


Risk Note:

The ETF is not yet approved — we're still in the hype phase.

Volatility remains high, and strong pullbacks are common in low-liquidity tokens like PENGU.

If whale activity continues and institutional narratives grow, the upside potential remains — but so does the downside risk.

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PENGU token started to rise from the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076). One of the signs of a continuation of the uptrend was the break of the upper line of the descending channel.

Educational Note: One of the price targets after a channel break can be as wide as the width of the broken channel.

In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it seems that the PENGU token has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY), and we can wait for the next impulsive waves.

I expect the PENGU token to attack the Resistance zone($0.0128-$0.0118) again, and if this zone is broken, it can increase to at least $0.0137(+30%).

What is your idea about the Pudgy Penguins project?

Note: If the PENGU token drops below $0.01, we can expect a break of the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076).

Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.

Pudgy Penguins Analyze (PENGUUSDT), 4-hour time frame.

Be sure to follow the updated ideas.

Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).

Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.

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