Welcome, traders, its Skeptic! Ready to dissect PEPE’s next moves? I’m diving into a pro-level analysis of PEPE, the #30 crypto and 3rd largest meme coin with a $4.08B market cap. This Analysis delivers a comprehensive breakdown—quick facts, 2025 performance, community strength, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, all rooted in HWC, MWC, LWC cycles. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 🙌 Let’s master PEPE! 🚖
Quick Facts
PEPE, an Ethereum-based meme coin launched in April 2023, is inspired by the Pepe the Frog internet meme. With a 420.69 trillion token supply, it features a deflationary burn mechanism and redistribution rewards for long-term holders. Currently trading at $0.00000946, it ranks as the #30 cryptocurrency and the 3rd largest meme coin behind Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, with a $4.08B market cap. Let’s unpack its 2025 performance and technical setup for actionable trades. 📊
2025 Performance & Community
PEPE has faced significant volatility in 2025, down 25.7% year-to-date and 35% this month. Despite this, its community remains robust with 456,000+ holders, and an impressive 37% haven’t sold in over a year, signaling diamond hands and strong belief in the project. This resilience suggests potential for recovery if market sentiment shifts.
Technical Analysis: Cycle-Based Breakdown
From a cycle perspective, Weekly/Monthly timeframes are range-bound, meaning lower timeframes drive most price action and shape near-term opportunities. Let’s break it down:
Daily Timeframe
After a 100% jump from May 6-22, 2025, PEPE retraced nearly the entire move. Momentum is currently bearish on the Daily, but declining volume during this pullback suggests traders view it as a correction rather than a trend reversal. Interest in heavy trading is low, indicating limited momentum for now.
Key Insight: The Daily is bearish but lacks strong selling pressure, hinting at consolidation. Watch for volume spikes to confirm directional moves.
Triggers for Spot Trading
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $0.00001403, confirmed by a volume surge during the breakout. For extra confirmation, check PEPE/BTC.
If PEPE/BTC breaks its downtrend line, it signals liquidity inflow and potential for strong growth. The primary trigger is a break of 0.0000000001399 on PEPE/BTC, which could spark explosive rallies for PEPE. Use indicators/oscillators (e.g., RSI) for additional confirmation, as PEPE/BTC volume is fake due to it being a ratio.
Key Insight: A PEPE/BTC breakout is a strong bullish signal, but volume confirmation is critical to avoid fake moves.
4-Hour Timeframe for Futures Triggers
On the 4-hour chart, PEPE has started an uptrend momentum. Should you go long on a break of resistance at $0.00001049? No—the Daily remains bearish, making the first wave risky. First-wave moves against the Daily often face high volatility and fake breakouts, lowering your win rate. Instead:
Long Trigger: Wait for the second uptrend wave after breaking $0.00001049, forming a range ceiling. Confirm with a volume increase, RSI entering overbought, or other oscillators to avoid fake breakouts or stop-loss hunts.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $0.00000894 is a strong short trigger, aligning with the bearish Daily. This setup offers favorable R/R ratios, especially if 4-hour momentum turns bearish. Set alarms for this level to catch the move.
Pro Tip: Shorts are safer due to Daily alignment. For longs, skip the first wave, wait for the second, and use tight risk management to navigate volatility.
Final Vibe Check
This PEPE Analysis arms you with precise triggers for spot and futures trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. With a range-bound Weekly, focus on Daily and 4-hour for opportunities. Short at $0.00000894 aligns with the trend, while longs need second-wave confirmation above $0.00001049 or a PEPE/BTC breakout at 0.0000000001399. Protect your capital—stick to MAX 1%–2% risk per trade. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which PEPE trigger are you watching? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Quick Facts
PEPE, an Ethereum-based meme coin launched in April 2023, is inspired by the Pepe the Frog internet meme. With a 420.69 trillion token supply, it features a deflationary burn mechanism and redistribution rewards for long-term holders. Currently trading at $0.00000946, it ranks as the #30 cryptocurrency and the 3rd largest meme coin behind Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, with a $4.08B market cap. Let’s unpack its 2025 performance and technical setup for actionable trades. 📊
2025 Performance & Community
PEPE has faced significant volatility in 2025, down 25.7% year-to-date and 35% this month. Despite this, its community remains robust with 456,000+ holders, and an impressive 37% haven’t sold in over a year, signaling diamond hands and strong belief in the project. This resilience suggests potential for recovery if market sentiment shifts.
Technical Analysis: Cycle-Based Breakdown
From a cycle perspective, Weekly/Monthly timeframes are range-bound, meaning lower timeframes drive most price action and shape near-term opportunities. Let’s break it down:
Daily Timeframe
After a 100% jump from May 6-22, 2025, PEPE retraced nearly the entire move. Momentum is currently bearish on the Daily, but declining volume during this pullback suggests traders view it as a correction rather than a trend reversal. Interest in heavy trading is low, indicating limited momentum for now.
Key Insight: The Daily is bearish but lacks strong selling pressure, hinting at consolidation. Watch for volume spikes to confirm directional moves.
Triggers for Spot Trading
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $0.00001403, confirmed by a volume surge during the breakout. For extra confirmation, check PEPE/BTC.
If PEPE/BTC breaks its downtrend line, it signals liquidity inflow and potential for strong growth. The primary trigger is a break of 0.0000000001399 on PEPE/BTC, which could spark explosive rallies for PEPE. Use indicators/oscillators (e.g., RSI) for additional confirmation, as PEPE/BTC volume is fake due to it being a ratio.
Key Insight: A PEPE/BTC breakout is a strong bullish signal, but volume confirmation is critical to avoid fake moves.
4-Hour Timeframe for Futures Triggers
On the 4-hour chart, PEPE has started an uptrend momentum. Should you go long on a break of resistance at $0.00001049? No—the Daily remains bearish, making the first wave risky. First-wave moves against the Daily often face high volatility and fake breakouts, lowering your win rate. Instead:
Long Trigger: Wait for the second uptrend wave after breaking $0.00001049, forming a range ceiling. Confirm with a volume increase, RSI entering overbought, or other oscillators to avoid fake breakouts or stop-loss hunts.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $0.00000894 is a strong short trigger, aligning with the bearish Daily. This setup offers favorable R/R ratios, especially if 4-hour momentum turns bearish. Set alarms for this level to catch the move.
Pro Tip: Shorts are safer due to Daily alignment. For longs, skip the first wave, wait for the second, and use tight risk management to navigate volatility.
Final Vibe Check
This PEPE Analysis arms you with precise triggers for spot and futures trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. With a range-bound Weekly, focus on Daily and 4-hour for opportunities. Short at $0.00000894 aligns with the trend, while longs need second-wave confirmation above $0.00001049 or a PEPE/BTC breakout at 0.0000000001399. Protect your capital—stick to MAX 1%–2% risk per trade. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which PEPE trigger are you watching? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.