Jade Lizard on PLTR - My 53DTE Summer Theta Play

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Many of you — and yes, I see you in my DMs 😄 — are trading PLTR, whether using LEAPS, wheeling, or covered calls.

I took a closer look. And guess what?

📈 After a strong move higher, PLTR was rejected right at the $143 call wall — pretty much all cumulative expiries cluster resistance there

snapshot

Using the GEX Profile indicator, scanning all expirations:
  • After a brief dip, the market is repositioning bullish
  • Squeeze zone extends up to 150
  • The most distant GEX level is sitting at 160
  • On the downside, 130 is firm support, with some presence even at 120 — the market isn’t pricing in much risk below that


📉 From a technical standpoint:

snapshot

  • We’re near all-time highs
  • 125 (previous ATH) and 100 are key support levels
  • The OTM delta curve through August is wide, and the call side is paying well — with a current call pricing skew
  • 🔬 IVx is at 57, trending lower + call pricing skew📉 IV Rank isn't particularly high, but the directional IVx matters more here


💡 Summer Theta Play: Jade Lizard on PLTR

Since I’ll be traveling this summer and don’t want to micromanage trades, I looked for something low-touch and high-confidence — and revisited an old favorite: the Jade Lizard.

If you're not familiar with the strategy, I recommend checking out Tastytrade's links and videos on Jade Lizards.

snapshot

🔹 Why this setup?

  • Breakeven sits near $100, even with no management
  • On TastyTrade margin:~$1800 initial margin ~$830 max profit
  • 53 DTE — plenty of time for theta to work
  • Earnings hit in August — I plan to close before then
  • Covers all bullish GEX resistance zones
  • Quickly turns profitable if IV doesn’t spike
  • Highly adjustable if needed



My conclusion: this strategy covers a much broader range than what the current GEX Profile shows across all expirations — so by my standards, I consider this to be a relatively lower-risk setup compared to most other symbols right now with similar theta strategies.

🔧 How would I adjust if needed?

If price moves up:
  • I’d roll the short put up to collect additional credit
  • Hold the call vertical as long as the curve supports it

If price drops:
  • Transition into a put ratio spread
  • Either extend or remove the call vertical depending on conditions


🛑 What’s the cut loss plan?

I have about 20% wiggle room on the upside, so I’m not too worried — but if price rips through 160 quickly, I’ll have to consider early closure.

If that happens, the decision depends on time:
If late in the cycle with low DTE:→ Take a small loss & roll out to next month for credit

If early with lots of DTE remaining:→ Consider converting to a butterfly, pushing out the call vertical for a small debit→ Offset this with credit from rolling the put upward

As always — stay sharp, manage your risk, and may the profit be with you.
See you next week!– Greg @ TanukiTrade

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