PYTH BEARISH

38
🔍 Chart Context Analysis
Trend: Clearly bearish structure with persistent lower highs and lower lows.

Price Location: Trading below the EMA cloud and under both descending trendlines — shows bearish control.

Stochastic RSI (8H): In overbought region and beginning to roll over — early signal of bearish momentum building.

MACD/Stochastic Momentum Below: Shows recent bullish recovery but now stalling near the midline, potentially turning.

Volume: Volume is weak and not supporting a strong bullish reversal.

Liquidity Pools Below: Thick demand zones between $0.105 – $0.100 and $0.085 – $0.080 visible.

🟠 Most Probable Setup: Bearish Rejection from EMA Cloud
This is a short trade setup rejecting from the EMA resistance zone and trendline.

🔹 Sniper Entry:
Entry Zone: $0.1160 – $0.1170 (current price range)

Ideally enter near $0.1170 if price sweeps it on a wick and rejects

Stop loss should sit above the recent swing high and trendline confluence

🔹 Stop Loss (SL):
$0.1205

Just above EMA cloud and previous bearish breaker

Invalidates the setup if price sustains above this level

🔹 Take Profit Targets:
TP1 Range: $0.1105 – $0.1080 → (first support + minor liquidity zone)

TP2: $0.1050 → (major demand/4D support low)

TP3 (optional): $0.1000 → (if momentum continues and stochastic breaks down hard)

⏱️ Estimated Timeframe for TP Hits:
TP1: 6–12 hours

TP2: 18–24 hours

TP3: 1.5–2.5 days (if broader bearish move unfolds)

✅ Key Reasons for Bearish Bias
EMA cloud acting as dynamic resistance.

Stochastic RSI overbought and potentially crossing down.

Price under HTF trendlines and structure.

No strong bullish volume spike — indicating weak bull follow-through.

Multiple liquidity pools still uncollected below ($0.105 – $0.100).

🚫 When to Invalidate the Short:
Price closes above $0.1205 on 8H candle.

Bullish volume spike with engulfing candle.

Bullish breakout through both descending trendlines.

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