QNT / TetherUS
Long

QNT Waking Up? The Sleeping Giant Eyes $160+

34
Summary

Quant (QNT) remains in a multi-year accumulation range" since its 2021 cycle top. The asset shows textbook signs of liquidity engineering, and the next decisive move hinges on structural breaks above key price levels. Institutional momentum is quietly building beneath the surface, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.

Macro Structure & Price Context

QNT's price action has respected a clear horizontal accumulation zone between $56 and $160 since 2021. The range has repeatedly swept liquidity both above and below key horizontal levels, signaling methodical accumulation by larger entities. This behavior aligns with institutional patterns where liquidity is engineered prior to expansion phases.

The Fibonacci retracement levels from the previous bull market cycle illustrate confluence with price action:

0.382 retracement aligns near current accumulation.

0.618 - 0.786 retracements ($260-$280) serve as long-term targets where liquidity inefficiencies remain unmitigated.

The $160 level is especially critical, as historical rejections confirm its role as a structural ceiling within this macro range. A successful breakout would shift the asset into price discovery towards $200-$280.

Mid-Term Structure & Momentum Indicators

Cup & Handle Formation (4H / Daily)

A well-formed cup & handle structure has emerged on the 4-hour and daily timeframes, signaling potential bullish continuation. The handle portion is consolidating above $104-$113, which has flipped from resistance to potential support.

Golden Cross (Daily)

A golden cross between the EMA 50 and EMA 200 on the daily chart further strengthens the bullish bias, marking a potential shift into a sustained uptrend.

Liquidity Sweep & Reaction

Recent price action filled a FVG zone at $85, sweeping liquidity and rebounding with strength. This move suggests the lower bound liquidity has been harvested and may no longer attract price in the near term.

Liquidity & Volume Pressure Zones

Order book depth indicates significant unexplored price action above $110.

Liquidity clusters and volume profiles suggest minimal resistance between $110 and $130, with price requiring acceptance above $110 to justify exploration beyond $130 and $160.

Above $130: Clearer path to $160.
Above $160: Opens inefficiencies towards $200-$280.


Liquidity & Momentum Zones
Above $130: Positive sentiment, confirms handle formation, increases probability of testing $160 again.
$160 Breakout: Structural shift from range-bound to trending. Opens doors to rapid liquidity grabs towards $200-$280.
Below $104: Reverts to bearish range-bound behavior, risks another sweep towards $85 and $56 liquidity pools.
$56: Ultimate liquidity grab zone if macro conditions worsen (unlikely in current market).

Fundamental & Macro Drivers

Regulatory Tailwinds


QNT's alignment with ISO 20022 and emerging CBDC infrastructure positions it as a compliant, institutional-grade token.

EU partnerships and banking adoption continue to solidify its fundamental narrative.

US Crypto Strategy


The US is aggressively positioning itself as a global crypto hub.

Regulatory clarity and institutional interest support compliant assets like QNT.

Market Environment


BTC dominance is declining, suggesting capital rotation into altcoins is near.

Historical patterns show sub-60% BTC.D aligns with altseason triggers.

Altcoin ignition phases typically follow periods like the current, where BTC sustains ATH and dominance contracts.

Geopolitical Developments

Tariff adjustments and easing global tensions free capital for risk-on assets.

Increased cross-border financial innovation benefits QNT's positioning.

Conclusion & Institutional Perspective

QNT is postured for a late-stage accumulation breakout. Institutional players are likely targeting the inefficiencies left in the $200-$280 zone. The presence of a strong macro structure, clear liquidity engineering, and aligning fundamentals in both EU regulation and US market positioning make this asset attractive.

The path of least resistance, provided BTC continues to hold above its ATH and dominance slides, points towards an eventual breakout of $160. Above this level, QNT’s inefficiencies demand mitigation, and the $280 magnet is a realistic mid-term institutional target.

Risk below $104 remains, but structurally the asset favors upside as long as it respects the $130 area and BTC dominance trends lower.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.