QQQ What could go wrong?

37
Bulls are riding the tailwind of weakening headline inflation, buyer-friendly rate outlooks, and AI/tech strength.
  • ~61% of QQQ stocks are above their 200d SMA, but only ~48% above 50d SMA
  • Need 60–65% stocks above 50d SMA
  • New highs consistently > 8–10% of index components


Bears flag concerns around persistent core inflation, lofty valuations, technical caution, and long-term risk exposure—especially if QQQ’s momentum disintegrates
  • Core CPI remains sticky (like the latest 3.1% YoY) which delays Fed cuts
  • Geopolitical/tariff shocks hitting supply chains or tech exports
  • Earnings misses from big AI names which reverses sentiment
  • Yield spike above 4.4% on the 10-year (valuation compression)


Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.