QQQ Pressured Below Downtrend Line. TA for Aug. 6

403
QQQ Pressured Below Downtrend Line – Bearish Momentum Building

Market Structure (1H View)
* QQQ remains in a descending channel, with price recently rejecting near the upper trendline resistance around $566–$567.
* The recent drop signals sellers defending the downtrend line, pushing price back toward mid-channel.
* Macro structure still leans bearish until price can break and hold above the channel.

Key Price Zones
* Immediate Resistance: $564–$567 (trendline rejection zone)
* Major Resistance: $577 (macro swing high level)
* Support: $551–$552 (key demand zone + previous consolidation base)
* Deeper Support: $545–$546 (prior low / psychological level)

Indicators
* MACD: Bearish crossover forming; momentum bars turning red, signaling increased downside pressure.
* Stoch RSI: Cooling off from overbought levels, moving lower—suggesting potential continued weakness.
* Trendlines: Price trapped between descending resistance and mid-channel support.

Current Bias
The rejection near $566–$567 and drop in momentum suggest sellers are regaining control. A retest of $551–$552 is possible if bearish momentum accelerates.

Scenarios to Watch
🟢 Bullish Case:
* Break & close above $567 → likely move toward $577.
* Needs strong buying volume and MACD bullish reversal to confirm breakout.
🔴 Bearish Case:
* Failure to reclaim $564 with sustained selling → drop toward $552 support.
* If $552 fails, deeper flush toward $545–$546 possible.

Trade Ideas (Not Financial Advice)
* Short Bias: If rejection continues at $564–$566 zone, target $552 with tight stop above $567.
* Long Setup: Only if price breaks $567 with strong bullish momentum; target $577.

📌 Final Thoughts
QQQ is in a pressure cooker at the top of its descending channel. Without a bullish breakout soon, the path of least resistance remains lower toward $552. Keep a close watch on intraday momentum shifts for confirmation.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.