I have two possible short-term scenarios for Rheinmetall. Both share the same structure on the higher degrees, but they differ slightly in the short term. Despite the difference in micro-counts, both scenarios remain bullish in the near term. As shown here, in this scenario, Wave 5 (yellow) is unfolding as an ending expanding diagonal, with each subwave in orange forming either a zigzag or a double zigzag. One small issue in this count is that Wave 4 (orange) hasn’t yet moved into the price territory of Wave 1 (orange), which is typically expected in an expanding diagonal. However, this is a guideline, not a rule so the count remains valid. Wave 4 (orange) may not be completed yet, and a break below the previous low would indicate that it's still in progress. For now, though, the structure suggests that Wave 5 (orange) has already begun and is expected to lead to a new all-time high. To validate this scenario, Wave 5 (orange) should unfold as a single zigzag (ABC) or a double zigzag (WXY). If instead it develops as a five-wave impulse, this count would be invalidated, and my second scenario would take over. The completion of this ending expanding diagonal would not only finish Wave 5 (yellow), but also mark the end of the larger Wave 3, (two degrees higher), which began on November 20, 2008.
With NATO recently announcing that nearly every European country except Spain will allocate 5% of GDP to defense, I expect that the correction following this major wave 3 impulse may be relatively shallow. More likely, we could see a broad distribution phase take shape, possibly in the form of a triangle rather than a sharp retracement.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses that may arise from reliance on this content. Always trade at your own risk.
With NATO recently announcing that nearly every European country except Spain will allocate 5% of GDP to defense, I expect that the correction following this major wave 3 impulse may be relatively shallow. More likely, we could see a broad distribution phase take shape, possibly in the form of a triangle rather than a sharp retracement.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses that may arise from reliance on this content. Always trade at your own risk.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.