Bearish Breakout + Consolidation with Bullish Bias

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After a strong downtrend since 2022, Rivian (RIVN) broke out of its falling channel in late 2023 and has been forming an ascending channel since 2024. This structure suggests a potential medium-term trend reversal.

The price is currently around $13.60, sitting just above the 200-day moving average (MA200) and near a key support area of the ascending channel. This zone presents a potential technical entry point if the structure holds.

Technical Summary:

  • Higher highs and higher lows since early 2024
  • MA200 acting as dynamic support
  • Well-defined ascen
ding channel projecting higher levels

Trade Idea:

  • Suggested entry: $13.00 – $13.60
  • Stop loss: $11.90 (below the channel and MA200)
  • Take profit 1: $16.00
  • Take profit 2: $20.00
  • Take p
rofit 3 (extended): $24.00

If the price respects the channel and rebounds from this zone, we could see continued bullish movement toward $16 and potentially higher. If it breaks below $12.00 and loses the MA200, the bullish idea is invalidated.

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