7/2/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
SBET
Another way to juice sbet orange
- in this giddy money printer go brr expectation tape and back to ATH on the index, it's an interesting point to look for names where you'd own it... but where it might be non-obvious and where IV is high
- as a point of reference, take $sbet. 1.5x mnav ETH treasury w/ some gaming ops, biggest treasury outside of eth foundation, eth is probably actually underwrite-able (not a word i know) from a convert/ perferred perspective, where a treasury *really* gets yield on it's stack
- I can sell the $10 strike aug 15 calls for $1.8 rn (and have started doing this, most of that volume today is me lol)
- point here is...
1/ i think in the next 6-18 mo. ETH will be probably $4-5k. does this mean it doesn't go to $1.5-2k in the meanwhile? and this thing could trade at 1x mnav in the immediate term? if that were the case, say $2.5k eth (so -20% plus or minus) and then 1.5x mnav to 1x mnav = another 30% on top of this. so you're looking at -50% (or more) so a $5/shr stock. would i buy it there? hell yeah. bottom w/ upside leverage w/o any expiry. it's like a call option that never expires at that point
- but in the meanwhile... do i have conviction this thing apes higher to the teens? 20s? no way jose.
- so i can buy a pile of shares here at $9.5, "sell" $10 strike for $1.8/shr and collect about 20% (1.8/9.5) for a month and a half. if thing goes to 20s... oh well, i am able to take bigger size at this stage than i'd otherwise be willing to take... bc my basis goes to $7.7/shr (9.5-1.8) and therefore my "downside" is a more reasonable 35%
- "V 35% downside is horrendous"
- lol - welcome to my probability mindset. I don't mind 20-40% max drawdown if i have visibility to multiple X's and also believe i would be adding in that drawdown instead of saying "shoot need to cut" ... and thinking it could do -60% or more on my basis. i don't ever like putting myself in a situation where i require more than 1x to breakeven
- therefore, let's play the market marker game. sit on our hands for the next month and a half. collect some premium. wish the best to our friends at SBET but be a bit unconcerned about the ST price action
V
SBETAnother way to juice sbet orange
- in this giddy money printer go brr expectation tape and back to ATH on the index, it's an interesting point to look for names where you'd own it... but where it might be non-obvious and where IV is high
- as a point of reference, take $sbet. 1.5x mnav ETH treasury w/ some gaming ops, biggest treasury outside of eth foundation, eth is probably actually underwrite-able (not a word i know) from a convert/ perferred perspective, where a treasury *really* gets yield on it's stack
- I can sell the $10 strike aug 15 calls for $1.8 rn (and have started doing this, most of that volume today is me lol)
- point here is...
1/ i think in the next 6-18 mo. ETH will be probably $4-5k. does this mean it doesn't go to $1.5-2k in the meanwhile? and this thing could trade at 1x mnav in the immediate term? if that were the case, say $2.5k eth (so -20% plus or minus) and then 1.5x mnav to 1x mnav = another 30% on top of this. so you're looking at -50% (or more) so a $5/shr stock. would i buy it there? hell yeah. bottom w/ upside leverage w/o any expiry. it's like a call option that never expires at that point
- but in the meanwhile... do i have conviction this thing apes higher to the teens? 20s? no way jose.
- so i can buy a pile of shares here at $9.5, "sell" $10 strike for $1.8/shr and collect about 20% (1.8/9.5) for a month and a half. if thing goes to 20s... oh well, i am able to take bigger size at this stage than i'd otherwise be willing to take... bc my basis goes to $7.7/shr (9.5-1.8) and therefore my "downside" is a more reasonable 35%
- "V 35% downside is horrendous"
- lol - welcome to my probability mindset. I don't mind 20-40% max drawdown if i have visibility to multiple X's and also believe i would be adding in that drawdown instead of saying "shoot need to cut" ... and thinking it could do -60% or more on my basis. i don't ever like putting myself in a situation where i require more than 1x to breakeven
- therefore, let's play the market marker game. sit on our hands for the next month and a half. collect some premium. wish the best to our friends at SBET but be a bit unconcerned about the ST price action
V
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.