Technical Analysis
The butterfly pattern is forming, with the PRZ at 882 as the 1.272 extension of the XA leg from the recent drop to 914.50 (July 2 close). With the stock at 909.30, it’s near support around 900-905. A reversal zone (e.g., 905-900) is key for entry confirmation—look for a bullish candlestick or RSI upturn. The 52-week high of 1,027.25 remains a long-term target if momentum builds.
Fundamental Catalyst
On July 2, 2025, SBICARD fell 2% (-0.32%) to 914.50 after Goldman Sachs downgraded it to 'Neutral' from 'Buy', setting a 1,006 target (8% upside). The move follows a 30% six-month rally, raising valuation concerns (P/E > 46) and credit cost focus. Despite a 5% drop in five days and a GST notice (Rs 81.93 crore ITC disallowance), Goldman sees strong medium-term growth, supporting a bullish case.
Market Sentiment
The downgrade tempers short-term optimism, but active trade (25 lakh shares) and institutional backing suggest resilience. A reversal above 910 could trigger the butterfly pattern, targeting 882, with potential to reach 1,006 if fundamentals improve.
Trade Idea
Wait for reversal zone before entry. Follow @Godfreystocks77 for updates!
Monitor volume and news on GST or trade deals to confirm the setup.
The butterfly pattern is forming, with the PRZ at 882 as the 1.272 extension of the XA leg from the recent drop to 914.50 (July 2 close). With the stock at 909.30, it’s near support around 900-905. A reversal zone (e.g., 905-900) is key for entry confirmation—look for a bullish candlestick or RSI upturn. The 52-week high of 1,027.25 remains a long-term target if momentum builds.
Fundamental Catalyst
On July 2, 2025, SBICARD fell 2% (-0.32%) to 914.50 after Goldman Sachs downgraded it to 'Neutral' from 'Buy', setting a 1,006 target (8% upside). The move follows a 30% six-month rally, raising valuation concerns (P/E > 46) and credit cost focus. Despite a 5% drop in five days and a GST notice (Rs 81.93 crore ITC disallowance), Goldman sees strong medium-term growth, supporting a bullish case.
Market Sentiment
The downgrade tempers short-term optimism, but active trade (25 lakh shares) and institutional backing suggest resilience. A reversal above 910 could trigger the butterfly pattern, targeting 882, with potential to reach 1,006 if fundamentals improve.
Trade Idea
- Entry: 905-900 on reversal confirmation (e.g., bullish candle at support).
- Target: 882 (PRZ), with a stretch to 1,006.
- Stop Loss: 895 (below support).
- Risk/Reward: 1:2.5.
Wait for reversal zone before entry. Follow @Godfreystocks77 for updates!
Monitor volume and news on GST or trade deals to confirm the setup.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.