8/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
SMWB
Long consideration on EPS sub $6
- seems to earn a good >10% growth, not amazing but solid on top line
- opex inflection already the case, continues to be the case.
- if we extrapolate FCF it should become >10 mm a Q - but let's cut that in half $5 and multiple by 4 Q's and we're at 20 mm. On round up $500 mm capital stack that's 4% and growing 10%... better than cash.
- sub 2x sales, seems too cheap?
- not that $NASDAQ:ZI is a comp, but "kind of" (though i think that co has it's own issues), puts a bit of sour taste in my mouth in a difficult tape to play this thing (or anything really) long at the moment
- the low key way to play (which may be what I opt for) is to buy the dip if/does happen and that's not my base case. But essentially i take the "oops we missed by 2% and the market is going to send us reeling -30% like we've seen so many times lately". trying to avoid one of those.
- google trends (not a great indicator here for B2B) seem solid in a MT context, but weaker in the ST context (i.e. this Q) otherwise i'd be more high conviction.
- let's see how this sets up in tues PM print and go from there.
curious if anyone has anyone knows this stock better/ has a more nuanced POV
V
SMWBLong consideration on EPS sub $6
- seems to earn a good >10% growth, not amazing but solid on top line
- opex inflection already the case, continues to be the case.
- if we extrapolate FCF it should become >10 mm a Q - but let's cut that in half $5 and multiple by 4 Q's and we're at 20 mm. On round up $500 mm capital stack that's 4% and growing 10%... better than cash.
- sub 2x sales, seems too cheap?
- not that $NASDAQ:ZI is a comp, but "kind of" (though i think that co has it's own issues), puts a bit of sour taste in my mouth in a difficult tape to play this thing (or anything really) long at the moment
- the low key way to play (which may be what I opt for) is to buy the dip if/does happen and that's not my base case. But essentially i take the "oops we missed by 2% and the market is going to send us reeling -30% like we've seen so many times lately". trying to avoid one of those.
- google trends (not a great indicator here for B2B) seem solid in a MT context, but weaker in the ST context (i.e. this Q) otherwise i'd be more high conviction.
- let's see how this sets up in tues PM print and go from there.
curious if anyone has anyone knows this stock better/ has a more nuanced POV
V
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.