Trade Direction:
- SOL Short
Risk Management:
- 1% Risk
Reason for Entry:
- H1 Supply
- Multi timeframe overbought
- 0.886 Retrace - M15 Leg
- HTF Bearish
- Consistent Lower highs, Lower Lows being respected
- HTF DOL lower ~ $140
Additional Notes:
- While technically sound, runs the risk of being stopped quickly based on any news event, market is heavily news driven right now and that means this could be invalidated quickly.
- Re-entry
- Until price gives me a reason to I have to assume the highest probability direction is down.
- For a change in bias, my system requires;
a) HTF DOL being swept (Like $140)
b) H1 MSB for bulls.
- Accepted that this is a fairly risky trade and one IMO will get stopped. But everything aligns with my system so entry must be taken. My only active trade with risk with an additional FET long running Risk free.
- SOL Short
Risk Management:
- 1% Risk
Reason for Entry:
- H1 Supply
- Multi timeframe overbought
- 0.886 Retrace - M15 Leg
- HTF Bearish
- Consistent Lower highs, Lower Lows being respected
- HTF DOL lower ~ $140
Additional Notes:
- While technically sound, runs the risk of being stopped quickly based on any news event, market is heavily news driven right now and that means this could be invalidated quickly.
- Re-entry
- Until price gives me a reason to I have to assume the highest probability direction is down.
- For a change in bias, my system requires;
a) HTF DOL being swept (Like $140)
b) H1 MSB for bulls.
- Accepted that this is a fairly risky trade and one IMO will get stopped. But everything aligns with my system so entry must be taken. My only active trade with risk with an additional FET long running Risk free.
Trade closed: stop reached
-1% SL hit.Going to review this tmrrw to establish what key indicators I missed for this bounce.
Note
Post-Trade Reflection:The failure came from misjudging the strength of the highs they weren’t major SFPs just weak liquidity markers.
Trade idea itself wasn’t invalid the execution timing was.
Today’s actual rejection (when BTC hit 106k and SOL hit HTF resistance) was the correct short zone clear confluence with H1 supply and HTF structure.
My entry was basically the “pre-move” it got me chopped because I jumped on the first reaction rather than waiting for the final flush.
Going Forward:
Weak highs / swing failure. Need clearer structure confirmation or full HTF POI engagement.
Wait for BTC/TOTAL to hit its key levels — SOL will follow. Build more patience around entries that form off temporary liquidity bounces avoid front running the proper zone just because conditions “look” overbought.
Summary:
This was not a bad trade in concept it was a premature execution against weak structure.
The rejection happened and my read was correct I just shorted too early, off the wrong zone.
The lesson is clear let the market confirm it's ready to die don’t jump the gun because it looks tired.
Changes:
Next week focus will be on H1 + Trades. I want to try doing less. Because simply, "Less is more"
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.