Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025

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🔮 Nightly SPY / SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into today’s PPI. Watch $SPY/SPX vs DXY and TLT for inflation momentum cues.
🤝 Tariff truce extended 90 days — U.S.–China pause now runs through Nov 10, removing near-term trade shock risk for NVDA AMD AAPL and other SPX heavyweights.
🇨🇳 China credit contraction — July new bank loans fell for the first time in 20 years, signaling weak demand and adding a global growth headwind to the tape.

📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊
📅 Thu, Aug 14
• 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Aug 9)
• 8:30 AM — PPI (July) — Headline & Core
• 2:00 PM — Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin speaks

⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational/informational only — not financial advice.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #PPI #Fed #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT

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