SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
Short
Updated

SPY Bear Fork N' Fib

3 530
SPY

SPY has perfectly tested & wicked off the 200 SMA and trigger-line of the descending (red-dashed) fork that held price from late March through July.

Upon testing the trigger line, SPY is starting to show some bearish divergence on sub-daily timeframes.

If this trigger-line manages to hold, I'm expecting a move lower to the new (yellow) fork's median line which is conveniently in sync with the U-MLH of the previous fork.

Back in March, my original downside target levels for the SPY we're 350 or 320.

AKA the 50% & 61.8% retracement levels of the Covid low to "everything bubble" high.

I'm expecting that median line test to occur at or near one of these fib levels.

Target 1: 50% Fib - 350 SPY

Target 2: 61.8% Fib - 320 SPY

Let's see what happens.


Fat_Fat









Note
Previous Move:
SPY Forks Bear Market Rally Top 430-435
Note
Initial move down:
"Don't fight the Fed"
Note
snapshot

Don't let a short-term gap fill fake you out over the next few days.

Those who missed out, may get another chance to short.
Note
Took profits on a big chunk of my puts today.
Note
Close trade in Full $$$$$

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