🔮 Nightly 
SPY / 
SPX Scenarios for August 8, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🧾 Tariff Shock → Day 2 Positioning
Markets are still digesting the new tariff regime (10%–41% on broad imports) and the proposed 100% levy on imported semiconductors with carve-outs for firms investing in U.S. production. Expect continued dispersion: U.S.-capex-heavy names bid; globally exposed hardware, autos, and consumer electronics face margin risk until rules are clarified.
💬 Policy Signaling Risk
Fed speakers are leaning cautious on growth and inflation pass-through from tariffs; Bostic flagged skepticism that tariff-driven price effects fade quickly. Translation: don’t count on a rapid dovish pivot because of tariffs alone.
⛽ Energy & Positioning Into the Weekend
Oil beta in focus: Baker Hughes U.S. rig count (1:00 pm ET) and CFTC COT (3:30 pm ET) hit this afternoon—both can nudge energy, USD, and risk appetite into the close.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Friday, August 8, 2025
10:20 AM ET – St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem (remarks)
Market angle: watch for any tariff-inflation commentary and guidance on the path/timing of cuts.
1:00 PM ET – Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Reads on drilling activity; oil services beta and crude sentiment.
3:30 PM ET – CFTC Commitments of Traders (weekly)
Positioning update across futures/FX; risk heading into next week.
(No major Tier-1 U.S. macro prints scheduled today; next CPI is Tuesday, Aug 12.)
Bureau of Labor Statistics
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational info only, not financial advice. Do your own research.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #tariffs #chips #energy #rigcount #COT
SPY / SPX Scenarios for August 8, 2025 🔮🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🧾 Tariff Shock → Day 2 Positioning
Markets are still digesting the new tariff regime (10%–41% on broad imports) and the proposed 100% levy on imported semiconductors with carve-outs for firms investing in U.S. production. Expect continued dispersion: U.S.-capex-heavy names bid; globally exposed hardware, autos, and consumer electronics face margin risk until rules are clarified.
💬 Policy Signaling Risk
Fed speakers are leaning cautious on growth and inflation pass-through from tariffs; Bostic flagged skepticism that tariff-driven price effects fade quickly. Translation: don’t count on a rapid dovish pivot because of tariffs alone.
⛽ Energy & Positioning Into the Weekend
Oil beta in focus: Baker Hughes U.S. rig count (1:00 pm ET) and CFTC COT (3:30 pm ET) hit this afternoon—both can nudge energy, USD, and risk appetite into the close.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Friday, August 8, 2025
10:20 AM ET – St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem (remarks)
Market angle: watch for any tariff-inflation commentary and guidance on the path/timing of cuts.
1:00 PM ET – Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
Reads on drilling activity; oil services beta and crude sentiment.
3:30 PM ET – CFTC Commitments of Traders (weekly)
Positioning update across futures/FX; risk heading into next week.
(No major Tier-1 U.S. macro prints scheduled today; next CPI is Tuesday, Aug 12.)
Bureau of Labor Statistics
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational info only, not financial advice. Do your own research.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #tariffs #chips #energy #rigcount #COT
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.