🔮 Nightly 
SPY / 
SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Global Markets Bet on Dovish Fed Pivot
Markets are pricing in more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts—approximately 125 bps by end-2026—due to speculation that President Trump may replace Chair Powell with a dovish successor. Investors caution excessive political influence could jeopardize Fed independence
🏦 Fed Governor Warns of Tariff Risks
Fed’s Michael Barr emphasized that tariffs could trigger inflation and unemployment, reinforcing the Fed’s wait‑and‑see approach. Expect modest rate cuts later this year, contingent on economic signals
📉 Q1 GDP Revised Sharply Lower
First-quarter U.S. GDP was downgraded to an annualized contraction of 0.5%, a deeper fall than previously reported. The revision underscores drag from weak consumer spending and trade disruptions
📃 Trade Deficit Widens in May
U.S. goods trade deficit expanded 11% to $96.6 billion, driven by a $9.7 billion drop in exports. Trade gap dynamics remain a headwind for growth projections
🐘 JPMorgan Sees Stagflation Risks
JPMorgan revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast down to 1.3%, warning that tariff-related “stagflationary impulse” is complicating growth and inflation outlooks—and making recession risks more real
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 27:
8:30 AM ET – U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June (Prelim.)
Expected to reflect growing economic caution. The index fell in May; traders will watch for further weakness.
10:00 AM ET – Fed Stress Test Results
Fed to release annual bank stress-test outcomes. Strong results support financial stability, while weak spots could unsettle markets
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #macro #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY / SPX Scenarios for June 27, 2025 🔮🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Global Markets Bet on Dovish Fed Pivot
Markets are pricing in more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts—approximately 125 bps by end-2026—due to speculation that President Trump may replace Chair Powell with a dovish successor. Investors caution excessive political influence could jeopardize Fed independence
🏦 Fed Governor Warns of Tariff Risks
Fed’s Michael Barr emphasized that tariffs could trigger inflation and unemployment, reinforcing the Fed’s wait‑and‑see approach. Expect modest rate cuts later this year, contingent on economic signals
📉 Q1 GDP Revised Sharply Lower
First-quarter U.S. GDP was downgraded to an annualized contraction of 0.5%, a deeper fall than previously reported. The revision underscores drag from weak consumer spending and trade disruptions
📃 Trade Deficit Widens in May
U.S. goods trade deficit expanded 11% to $96.6 billion, driven by a $9.7 billion drop in exports. Trade gap dynamics remain a headwind for growth projections
🐘 JPMorgan Sees Stagflation Risks
JPMorgan revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast down to 1.3%, warning that tariff-related “stagflationary impulse” is complicating growth and inflation outlooks—and making recession risks more real
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 27:
8:30 AM ET – U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – June (Prelim.)
Expected to reflect growing economic caution. The index fell in May; traders will watch for further weakness.
10:00 AM ET – Fed Stress Test Results
Fed to release annual bank stress-test outcomes. Strong results support financial stability, while weak spots could unsettle markets
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #macro #charting #technicalanalysis
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.