📊 VolanX Macro & Technical Outlook — SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
WaverVanir International LLC | Aug 10, 2025
Macro Context:
U.S. equities remain in a late-cycle rally phase, supported by liquidity flows and resilient earnings.
Fed policy uncertainty is easing; market participants are pricing in rate stability with a potential pivot in the next 6–9 months.
Geopolitical risk remains a latent factor but hasn’t disrupted risk-on sentiment.
Technical Structure (Daily Chart):
Primary Trend: Bullish continuation, respecting the ascending trendline.
Fib Levels: Price reclaimed the 0.786 zone ($629.59) and is pushing toward 0.886 ($634.38).
Current Resistance: $637.18 — breaking and holding above opens path to $669.62 (1.618 extension).
Support Levels:
Strong: $622.06 (Fib confluence)
Critical: $603.21 (trend invalidation zone)
Risk Assessment:
Upside Risk: Overextension into 1.618–2.0 Fib zones could precede sharp retracements.
Downside Risk: Loss of $622.06 could trigger accelerated selling toward $603.21.
Macro Correlation: High beta to liquidity conditions; strong dollar or bond yield spikes could dampen momentum.
Targets:
Near-term: $637.18 break confirmation → $651.17
Mid-term: $669.62 major target (1.618 extension)
Stretch: $687.81 (Fib 2.0) if macro tailwinds persist
VolanX Strategy Bias:
Positioning: Favor long bias with partial profit-taking at $651.17.
Risk Management: Tighten stops under $622.06 on swing positions.
Scaling Plan: Add on confirmed breakout of $637.18 with volume expansion.
💡 WaverVanir Takeaway:
This setup is a textbook late-cycle breakout structure with healthy retracements and controlled risk zones. Patience and disciplined scaling will be key in capturing the 1.618 target zone.
#VolanX #WaverVanir #SPY #Macro #TradingStrategy #FibAnalysis #RiskManagement #StockMarket
WaverVanir International LLC | Aug 10, 2025
Macro Context:
U.S. equities remain in a late-cycle rally phase, supported by liquidity flows and resilient earnings.
Fed policy uncertainty is easing; market participants are pricing in rate stability with a potential pivot in the next 6–9 months.
Geopolitical risk remains a latent factor but hasn’t disrupted risk-on sentiment.
Technical Structure (Daily Chart):
Primary Trend: Bullish continuation, respecting the ascending trendline.
Fib Levels: Price reclaimed the 0.786 zone ($629.59) and is pushing toward 0.886 ($634.38).
Current Resistance: $637.18 — breaking and holding above opens path to $669.62 (1.618 extension).
Support Levels:
Strong: $622.06 (Fib confluence)
Critical: $603.21 (trend invalidation zone)
Risk Assessment:
Upside Risk: Overextension into 1.618–2.0 Fib zones could precede sharp retracements.
Downside Risk: Loss of $622.06 could trigger accelerated selling toward $603.21.
Macro Correlation: High beta to liquidity conditions; strong dollar or bond yield spikes could dampen momentum.
Targets:
Near-term: $637.18 break confirmation → $651.17
Mid-term: $669.62 major target (1.618 extension)
Stretch: $687.81 (Fib 2.0) if macro tailwinds persist
VolanX Strategy Bias:
Positioning: Favor long bias with partial profit-taking at $651.17.
Risk Management: Tighten stops under $622.06 on swing positions.
Scaling Plan: Add on confirmed breakout of $637.18 with volume expansion.
💡 WaverVanir Takeaway:
This setup is a textbook late-cycle breakout structure with healthy retracements and controlled risk zones. Patience and disciplined scaling will be key in capturing the 1.618 target zone.
#VolanX #WaverVanir #SPY #Macro #TradingStrategy #FibAnalysis #RiskManagement #StockMarket
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.