Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025

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🔮 Nightly SPY / SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines

Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russia–Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair Powell’s keynote. SPY / SPX still anchored to central-bank risk tone.

Jackson Hole in focus. Investors are positioning for signals of a dovish tilt or rate cut cues in Powell’s speech later this week—data releases are in the shadow of event risk.

Home Depot earnings loom. Retail heavyweight Home Depot reports today; strong results could buoy equities, while a miss would fan caution on consumer resilience.

💼 Key Market Developments

Meta and Palo Alto highlight tech divergences. Meta shares slipped 2.3% on AI-leaning costs and metaverse skepticism, while Palo Alto surged 5% with robust Q4 and 2026 outlook—creating bifurcated leadership in tech.

Stagflation & AI risk lurk. Analysts warn of stagflation threats and fading AI momentum as catalysts for a broader pullback—S&P 500 still up ~10% YTD, but vulnerable.

⏱ Key Data Releases & Events (ET)
📅 Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Canada Inflation Rate (July): Expected 2.0% y/y — a minor but global inflation cue
U.S. Building Permits (July): Forecast ~1.39M — housing sector signpost ahead of Powell’s speech

Corporate Highlight:
Home Depot (HD) earnings — earnings and commentary on inflation, tariffs, demand dynamics

⚠ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #JacksonHole #Fed #SPY #SPX #HD #HomeDepot #JacksonHole #inflation #earnings #tech #AI #SP500

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