🔮 Nightly 
SPY / 
SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
Post-Jackson Hole digestion 🏔️ → markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powell’s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY.
Durables in focus ✈️📦. Core capital goods orders (non-defense ex-air) are the cleanest read on business investment; softness fuels cut odds, strength = “higher-for-longer.”
Housing affordability squeeze 🏠. Case-Shiller and pending sales provide a 2-sided look at price momentum vs. turnover;XHB and 
XLY key tickers.
Consumer mood check 🛒😬. Conference Board Confidence frames labor market sentiment and forward spending intentions.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET)
8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Jul)
Consensus: ~-0.3% headline; core orders expected flat/slightly positive.
Why it matters: Big-ticket spending → business cycle pulse.
9:00 AM — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jun)
Prior: +6.0% y/y.
Why it matters: Tracks housing inflation pressure; feeds into consumer wealth effect.
10:00 AM — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Aug)
Prior: 100.3.
Why it matters: Labor perceptions & spending intentions →XLY sentiment.
10:00 AM — Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey (Aug)
Regional check on factory activity; complements durables.
10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Jul)
Prior: -4.1% m/m.
Why it matters: Leading indicator of housing turnover; affordability squeeze.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #durablegoods #housing #consumerconfidence #Fed #DXY #TLT
SPY / SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 🔮🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
Post-Jackson Hole digestion 🏔️ → markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powell’s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY.
Durables in focus ✈️📦. Core capital goods orders (non-defense ex-air) are the cleanest read on business investment; softness fuels cut odds, strength = “higher-for-longer.”
Housing affordability squeeze 🏠. Case-Shiller and pending sales provide a 2-sided look at price momentum vs. turnover;
XHB and XLY key tickers.Consumer mood check 🛒😬. Conference Board Confidence frames labor market sentiment and forward spending intentions.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET)
8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Jul)
Consensus: ~-0.3% headline; core orders expected flat/slightly positive.
Why it matters: Big-ticket spending → business cycle pulse.
9:00 AM — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jun)
Prior: +6.0% y/y.
Why it matters: Tracks housing inflation pressure; feeds into consumer wealth effect.
10:00 AM — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Aug)
Prior: 100.3.
Why it matters: Labor perceptions & spending intentions →
XLY sentiment.10:00 AM — Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey (Aug)
Regional check on factory activity; complements durables.
10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Jul)
Prior: -4.1% m/m.
Why it matters: Leading indicator of housing turnover; affordability squeeze.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #durablegoods #housing #consumerconfidence #Fed #DXY #TLT
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.