🔮 Nightly
SPY /
SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a “disinflation but not done” vibe. Watch $SPY/
SPX vs.
DXY and
TLT as markets handicap a September cut.
🛢️ EIA sees crude sliding sub-$60 — The EIA’s August outlook projects Brent <$60 in Q4 ‘25 as supply growth outpaces demand; energy equities (
XLE) and $USO/$CL_F stay sensitive to this path.
🏦 Fed-speak cluster today — Three regional Feds on deck (Barkin, Bostic, Goolsbee). Any shift in tone on tariffs vs. labor softness can move the front end and equities.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊
📅 Wed, Aug 13
• 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications (weekly).
• 8:00 AM — Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin speaks (Greenville Chamber).
• 10:30 AM — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (inventories, products).
• 1:00 PM — Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee Q&A (12:00 CT luncheon; livestream).
• 1:30 PM — Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic remarks (economic outlook).
• 1:00 PM — U.S. 10-Year Note Auction (Treasury) — usual mid-month supply; watch $TLT/$TNX.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #Fed #oil #bonds #SPY #SPX #TLT #DXY #XLE
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a “disinflation but not done” vibe. Watch $SPY/
🛢️ EIA sees crude sliding sub-$60 — The EIA’s August outlook projects Brent <$60 in Q4 ‘25 as supply growth outpaces demand; energy equities (
🏦 Fed-speak cluster today — Three regional Feds on deck (Barkin, Bostic, Goolsbee). Any shift in tone on tariffs vs. labor softness can move the front end and equities.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊
📅 Wed, Aug 13
• 7:00 AM — MBA Mortgage Applications (weekly).
• 8:00 AM — Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin speaks (Greenville Chamber).
• 10:30 AM — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (inventories, products).
• 1:00 PM — Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee Q&A (12:00 CT luncheon; livestream).
• 1:30 PM — Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic remarks (economic outlook).
• 1:00 PM — U.S. 10-Year Note Auction (Treasury) — usual mid-month supply; watch $TLT/$TNX.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #CPI #Fed #oil #bonds #SPY #SPX #TLT #DXY #XLE
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.