SSL | Direction: Long (Speculative Value Play) | Key Reason: Deep Value & Bounce Potential | (June 25, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
SSL (Sasol Limited) is deeply undervalued compared to peers, trading around $4.55 against annual revenue near $14.7 B—presenting a potential rebound opportunity if it stabilizes near key structural support.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long (value bounce setup)
Entry: Around $4.55
Stop Loss: Below $1.00 (if price collapses—major risk zone)
Take Profit 1: $8.00 (near the midpoint of the range)
Take Profit 2: $13.50
Take Profit 3: $16.96
Extended Target: $25.00 (reversion to mean)
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Strong revenue & diversified operations: ~ $14.7 B TTM revenue from chemicals and energy; net income recently at ~$2.8 B loss but a history of stronger profitability
✅ Deep undervaluation: P/E ratio ~2× industry; P/B ~0.37; PEG ~~0.2 indicates extreme value
❌ High debt burden: Debt roughly twice the free cash flow; dividend cuts reflect financial strain
✅ Bullish case if stabilized: Integrated production chain and potential rebound in commodity prices could fuel recovery.
⚠️ Significant risk: Weak recent performance; steep sell-offs; stop loss below $1 reflects potential equity wipeout.
4️⃣ Follow-Up Note
Watch quarterly earnings (next on Aug 25, 2025) and any debt restructuring. A break above $8–9 with improving sentiment would support moving to higher targets; failure to hold near current levels could invalidate the thesis.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
1️⃣ Insight Summary
SSL (Sasol Limited) is deeply undervalued compared to peers, trading around $4.55 against annual revenue near $14.7 B—presenting a potential rebound opportunity if it stabilizes near key structural support.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long (value bounce setup)
Entry: Around $4.55
Stop Loss: Below $1.00 (if price collapses—major risk zone)
Take Profit 1: $8.00 (near the midpoint of the range)
Take Profit 2: $13.50
Take Profit 3: $16.96
Extended Target: $25.00 (reversion to mean)
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Strong revenue & diversified operations: ~ $14.7 B TTM revenue from chemicals and energy; net income recently at ~$2.8 B loss but a history of stronger profitability
✅ Deep undervaluation: P/E ratio ~2× industry; P/B ~0.37; PEG ~~0.2 indicates extreme value
❌ High debt burden: Debt roughly twice the free cash flow; dividend cuts reflect financial strain
✅ Bullish case if stabilized: Integrated production chain and potential rebound in commodity prices could fuel recovery.
⚠️ Significant risk: Weak recent performance; steep sell-offs; stop loss below $1 reflects potential equity wipeout.
4️⃣ Follow-Up Note
Watch quarterly earnings (next on Aug 25, 2025) and any debt restructuring. A break above $8–9 with improving sentiment would support moving to higher targets; failure to hold near current levels could invalidate the thesis.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
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1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
2 Ways I can help you | Real Trades. Real Edge
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.