$TDUP - Bullish Before Earnings Today

was a pick from my August 3rd, 2025 newsletter, along with , , and $AMSC. These picks all have the following in common:

Performance 10Y > Performance 5Y - No long term dips in performance
Performance 5Y > Performance 1Y - No short term dips in performance
SMA(300) < Price - Price above moving average
SMA(200) < Price - Price above moving average
Avg Volume 10D > 100K - No lightly traded stocks. Liquidity needed
SMA(200) >= SMA(300) - Stacked long-term simple moving averages
SMA(50 >= SMA(200) - Stacked mid-term simple moving averages
ROE, Trailing 12 Months > 0% - Improving ROE (Return on Equity)
PE increasing quarter-over-quarter

has an earnings event after hours on Monday, August 4th - today. On a fundamental note, earlier this year they exited the European market and have gotten a big growth benefit from some of the AI tools, like Style Chat, that they’ve introduced to their ecommerce platform.

With their entire focus being redirected to the US market, and their numbers showing the benefits of this new focus, they have a fighting chance to be a solid pick for the next few years.

EPS and ROE have gained in the last quarter, but there is some overhead resistance right now based on the free TradingView Indicator Magic Order Blocks [MW].

Oh, and they’ve been winning a lot of awards and recognition on the technology front, including a nod for their Chief Product and Technology Officer, Dan DeMeyer, being named a 2024 Vanguard at the beginning of the year, by Modern Retail.

My analysis shows that there is an expected 23% move because of the earnings events based on implied volatility. But the IV is so large, the movement over the last few trading days might take the wind out of the sails of today's announcement. Unless, of course, there's a miss. In which case, bulls might get smashed.

This is a slightly riskier play, considering the IV going into earnings, but could be a big winner if stays on their current trajectory.

Or, I could be wrong. 😕🤔

Trade active

Up 20% since this post. Still holding 100% position.

mwrightinc

mwright.com
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