Target Corporation
Short

TGT Earnings Play: Strong Bearish Setup โ€“ $100 Put

705
๐Ÿ›’๐Ÿ’ฅ TGT Earnings Alert โ€“ $100 Put (Aug 22, 2025) ๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ”ฅ
Earnings Snapshot

๐Ÿ“‰ Revenue Momentum: -2.8% TTM โŒ
๐Ÿ“Š Margins: Profit margin 4.0%, Gross margin 28.1% โš ๏ธ
๐Ÿ“ˆ Forward EPS Growth: 15.5% (aggressive) ๐Ÿ’ก
๐Ÿ’ต Debt-to-Equity: 130.21 โš–๏ธ
๐Ÿฌ Sector Context: Discretionary retail under pressure, consumers shifting to essentials ๐Ÿ›’

Technical & Market Context

Price: $104.95, above 20-day MA ($103.40) but below 200-day MA ($115.47) โš–๏ธ

RSI: 58.35 โ†’ neutral momentum

Volume: 3.8M, below average ๐Ÿ“‰

Options Flow: Expected bearish put skew ๐Ÿ“‰

Macro: Inflation & rising costs = headwinds ๐Ÿšจ

๐Ÿ’ฅ Trade Recommendation

๐ŸŽฏ Strategy: Earnings Put

๐Ÿฆ Instrument: TGT

๐Ÿ’ต Strike: $100 Put

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Expiry: Aug 22, 2025

๐Ÿ’ฐ Entry Price: $1.85

๐ŸŽฏ Profit Target: $5.50 (200%+)

๐Ÿ›‘ Stop Loss: $0.92 (50% of premium)

โฐ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close

๐Ÿ“ˆ Confidence: 90% ๐Ÿ”ฅ

โš ๏ธ Key Risks:

Rapid IV crush post-earnings โณ

Unexpected upside surprise ๐Ÿš€

High leverage; manage sizing carefully โš–๏ธ

Multiple Exit Scenarios

Profit Target Hit: Exit at $5.50 ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Stop Loss: Exit at $0.92 โŒ

Time-Based: Close within 90 mins post-earnings โฑ๏ธ

Trade JSON
{
"instrument": "TGT",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 100.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-22",
"confidence": 90,
"profit_target": 5.50,
"stop_loss": 0.92,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.85,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-08-21",
"earnings_time": "BMO",
"expected_move": 5.0,
"iv_rank": 0.85,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-19 15:20:01 UTC-04:00"
}


๐Ÿ“Š Quick Trade Recap:
๐ŸŽฏ PUT $100 | ๐Ÿ’ต $1.85 โ†’ ๐ŸŽฏ $5.50 | ๐Ÿ›‘ $0.92 | ๐Ÿ“… Aug 22 | ๐Ÿ“ˆ 90% Confidence
โฐ Entry: Pre-Earnings Close | ๐Ÿ“† Earnings: Aug 21 BMO | ๐Ÿ“Š Expected Move: 5%

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