TNX - ten year note yield still in an uptrend

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Is it just me or is it weird that even the yield of treasury notes trades within channels and diagonals like stocks and oil ?

This chart pattern could be described as a bull flag.

Rising yields don't necessarily lead to lower stock prices:

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But the bigger picture issue could be the interest payments of the US government, which reached a record of 4.4 trillion USD in 2024.

Note
Seems like the entire financial market is at a crucial point currently. Stock indices and BTC might have created a longer term top and are showing signs of a downtrend, gold is going up....and if we look at a monthly chart of TNX with the MACD slightly positive and potential move for this bull flag (conservative):

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Note
went down a bit, but still within the channel:
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Note
could still be a bull flag. RSI is low, looks like a retest and might start going up again

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Note
retest from below. Let's see if this can go up again. With all the stupid tariffs inflation will go UP.

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Note
three weeks later. The blue line has been crossed:
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