Tesla
Long

TSLA Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06

182
⚡ TSLA Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish (short-term bounce to $305)
Timeframe: 5–7 days
Catalysts: Fundstrat upgrade, government contract news, max pain magnet
Trade Type: Naked call option

🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Bias Strategy Strike Premium Target(s) Stop-Loss Confidence
Grok Moderately Bearish $290 PUT $5.15 +25–50% gain –50% premium 78%
Claude Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.30 $28 / $32 $18.50 75%
Llama Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.40 $310 spot target $295 spot break 80%
Gemini Moderately Bearish $280 PUT (entry < $308) $3.30 $6.00 $1.65 70%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.20 $310 / $315 $291 spot break 75%

✅ Consensus: Bounce likely toward $305 on sentiment and positioning
⚠️ Disagreements: Direction split — bounce vs. breakdown continuation

🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: Below key EMAs, but short-term bounce forming

Support Zone: $291–297

Resistance / Magnet: $302–305 (max pain + liquidity)

Volatility: VIX ~17.6 — neutral, supports option buying

News: Gov’t contracts + Fundstrat upgrade — potential upside fuel

✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument TSLA
Strategy CALL (LONG)
Strike $305
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $23.30
Profit Target $28.00
Stop Loss $18.50
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At open
Confidence 75%

💡 Rationale: Strong call wall + magnet effect at $305 with improving sentiment despite daily weakness — high-risk, short-duration swing setup.

⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
Rejection at $297–300 zone could confirm further downside

Time decay will accelerate approaching midweek — exit quickly if thesis invalidates

Negative TSLA or macro news could reverse bounce fast

Limit size to protect portfolio: risk ≤3% of account

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