🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Gamma Exposure Zones:
* Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone
* Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in
* Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally)
* PUT Support Zones:
* $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip
* $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support
* $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 25.2 (moderate)
* IVx avg: 70.5
* Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50)
* Interpretation:
* TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point.
* GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown:
* Current Price: $325.00
* Structure:
* Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327
* Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred
* Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed
* Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible
* Trendlines:
* Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure
* If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone)
⚔️ Trade Setups:
🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability):
* Trigger: Continuation below $322.50
* Target 1: $315 (PUT support)
* Target 2: $310
* Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall)
Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $328
* Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance)
* Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet)
* Stop-loss: Below $324.50
Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out.
💭 My Thoughts:
* TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5.
* Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast.
* Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster.
* Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown.
🔚 Conclusion:
TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
* Gamma Exposure Zones:
* Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone
* Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in
* Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally)
* PUT Support Zones:
* $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip
* $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support
* $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 25.2 (moderate)
* IVx avg: 70.5
* Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50)
* Interpretation:
* TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point.
* GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown:
* Current Price: $325.00
* Structure:
* Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327
* Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred
* Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed
* Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible
* Trendlines:
* Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure
* If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone)
⚔️ Trade Setups:
🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability):
* Trigger: Continuation below $322.50
* Target 1: $315 (PUT support)
* Target 2: $310
* Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall)
Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $328
* Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance)
* Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet)
* Stop-loss: Below $324.50
Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out.
💭 My Thoughts:
* TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5.
* Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast.
* Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster.
* Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown.
🔚 Conclusion:
TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.