Tesla
Long

TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup – Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone

143
🚗 TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup – Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone 🔥
📅 Signal Date: June 5, 2025 | ⏳ Duration: 5–10 Day Swing
🎯 Objective: Play oversold bounce into heavy open interest at $300
📊 Multi-Model Insight Summary
Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 40.80 17.00 75%
Claude Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 50.00–65.00 20.00 75%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Buy Call 300 26.65 32.00 20.00 75%
Gemini Neutral/Stand Aside No Trade — — — — 45%
Llama Mod. Bearish Buy Put 280 3.30 1.65 3.30 75%

🔎 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
15-Min RSI: Extremely oversold → Mean-reversion potential

Daily/Weekly: Neutral, but nearing key support zones

Price Action: 5-day sharp drop into $280–$285 area

Max Pain: $300 → potential gravitational magnet for bounce

Sentiment: News uncertainty (Musk/Trump noise) but positioning supports upside

IV Rank: Elevated — options rich but supported by move potential

🎯 Trade Setup – Long TSLA Call
Instrument: TSLA

Direction: CALL (LONG)

Strike: $290.00

Expiry: 2025-06-20

Entry Price: $34.00

Profit Target: $40.80 (20% premium gain)

Stop Loss: $17.00 (50% premium loss)

Size: 1 contract

Entry Timing: Market open

Confidence Level: 70%

⚠️ Risk Management Notes
🔻 Premium decay: Watch theta decay closely, especially if no bounce by day 5

🚫 Technical breach: Close trade if $280–$285 breaks on strong volume

💣 Headline risk: Musk-related catalysts or macro shifts can swing direction rapidly

⏳ Time Exit Rule: Consider exiting by June 14 if trade hasn’t reached target

🧠 Trade Rationale
TSLA’s sharp pullback into oversold territory alongside strong call OI at $300 sets the stage for a short-term relief bounce. Multiple models support the call play, with a focus on a 5–10 day recovery swing.

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