TSM Weekly Options Setup – Overbought with Max Pain Pressure (20
📉 TSM Weekly Options Setup – Overbought with Max Pain Pressure (2025-06-11)
Ticker:
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor)
Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish (Short-Term)
Setup Type: Max Pain Reversion Play | Confidence: 65%
Expiry: June 13, 2025 | Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
📍 Price: ~$214.10
📈 Short-Term Trend (5-min): Strong bullish momentum, price > EMAs, MACD positive
📉 Daily Chart: RSI ≈ 80.79 → extremely overbought, price above upper Bollinger Band
🎯 Max Pain: $205 → possible gravitational pull
💬 Options Sentiment: Heavy open interest at $205 Puts; cautious tone across models
🧠 AI Model Consensus Breakdown
🔹 Bullish Bias (Short-Term Momentum)
• Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor riding remaining upside with $217.50 Calls
• Justification: Intraday signals strong, MACD bullish, RSI not peaking yet on M5
🔹 Bearish Bias (Daily Overextension & Max Pain)
• Gemini/Google & DeepSeek: Favor reversion to $205 using $205 Puts
• Justification: RSI > 80, price extended, high put OI & max pain align around $205
✅ Recommended Trade Plan
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $205
📅 Expiry: June 13, 2025 (Weekly)
💵 Entry Price: $0.63
🎯 Profit Target: $1.20 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
• 🚀 A breakout above $215.50 could invalidate the bearish thesis
• ⏳ Theta decay is aggressive in weeklys – move must come quick
• ⚡ Intraday bullish signals are still strong → this is a contrarian trade
• 🛡️ Use disciplined stops and size conservatively to manage risk
💭 WillTSM fade off its overbought highs or keep ripping?
📉 Put or 📈 call — what’s your play? Drop your take 👇
Ticker:
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor)Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish (Short-Term)
Setup Type: Max Pain Reversion Play | Confidence: 65%
Expiry: June 13, 2025 | Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
📍 Price: ~$214.10
📈 Short-Term Trend (5-min): Strong bullish momentum, price > EMAs, MACD positive
📉 Daily Chart: RSI ≈ 80.79 → extremely overbought, price above upper Bollinger Band
🎯 Max Pain: $205 → possible gravitational pull
💬 Options Sentiment: Heavy open interest at $205 Puts; cautious tone across models
🧠 AI Model Consensus Breakdown
🔹 Bullish Bias (Short-Term Momentum)
• Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor riding remaining upside with $217.50 Calls
• Justification: Intraday signals strong, MACD bullish, RSI not peaking yet on M5
🔹 Bearish Bias (Daily Overextension & Max Pain)
• Gemini/Google & DeepSeek: Favor reversion to $205 using $205 Puts
• Justification: RSI > 80, price extended, high put OI & max pain align around $205
✅ Recommended Trade Plan
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $205
📅 Expiry: June 13, 2025 (Weekly)
💵 Entry Price: $0.63
🎯 Profit Target: $1.20 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
• 🚀 A breakout above $215.50 could invalidate the bearish thesis
• ⏳ Theta decay is aggressive in weeklys – move must come quick
• ⚡ Intraday bullish signals are still strong → this is a contrarian trade
• 🛡️ Use disciplined stops and size conservatively to manage risk
💭 Will
TSM fade off its overbought highs or keep ripping?📉 Put or 📈 call — what’s your play? Drop your take 👇
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.