TTD Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06

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🐻 TTD Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5–7 trading days
Catalysts: Weak daily trend, below EMAs, oversold conditions may delay move
Trade Type: Naked put option

🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Bias Strategy Strike Premium Target(s) Stop-Loss Confidence
Grok Moderately Bearish $71 PUT $1.00 +50% –25% 75%
Claude Moderately Bearish $67 PUT $0.93 $2.50 $0.65 75%
Llama Moderately Bearish $67 PUT $0.94 $1.13 $0.47 72%
Gemini Moderately Bullish $75 CALL $1.04 $1.55 / $2.10 $0.50 70%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $75 CALL $1.06 $1.60 $0.75 75%

✅ Consensus: Short-term oversold, but longer-term bias remains bearish
⚠️ Disagreements: Bounce vs. continuation; call vs. put structure

🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: Daily/weekly charts bearish (below EMAs); 15m shows divergence

Support Zones: $70.34–$70.68

Resistance / Max Pain: $73.90 and $75

Volatility: VIX at 17.6 – supports risk-taking

News: Neutral to slightly negative; no strong catalyst noted

✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument TTD
Strategy PUT (SHORT)
Strike $67
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $0.94
Profit Target $1.40
Stop Loss $0.65
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At open
Confidence 75%

💡 Rationale: Daily bearish structure supported by three models. Downside continuation setup if oversold bounce fails to hold $71.

⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
Short-term bounce may occur from 15m bullish divergence

Max Pain at $75 may cause gravitational upward drift

Liquidity Note: $67 put has low OI and volume → wider spreads

Theta decay increases rapidly next week — act fast if trade stalls

Unexpected news could invalidate bearish setup quickly

📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: TTD
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: $67.00
💵 Entry Price: $0.94
🎯 Profit Target: $1.40
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.65
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: Open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-06 13:13:23 EDT

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