- 
TTD is no longer the high flying market darling
- Growth has been coming down from high 30s to 20s and now to high teens. This calls for lowering multiple
Fundamentally,
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 0.82 | 1.09 | 1.41 | 1.89
eps% | -49.61% | 32.28% | 29.08% | 34.47%
- This year eps is negative and in the future it's growing again therefore 2025 is a good year to accumulateTTD at or close to fair value.
- A company growing eps 30%+ deserves a forward p/e of 30 as a base case
- Fair stock value (base case) with forward p/e of 30
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
fair value | 24.6 | 32.7 | 42.3 | 56
- Fair stock value (bull case) with forward p/e of 40
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
fair value | 32 | 43 | 56 | 75
- Fair stock value (bear case) with forward p/e of 20
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
fair value | 16 | 21 | 28 | 37.8
- Personally, I have started accumulating but ideally want to add significantly in that accumulation box I have highlighted in the chart.
- Note: I have linked my old posts where I shortedTTD and went long TTD
TTD is no longer the high flying market darling - Growth has been coming down from high 30s to 20s and now to high teens. This calls for lowering multiple
Fundamentally,
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 0.82 | 1.09 | 1.41 | 1.89
eps% | -49.61% | 32.28% | 29.08% | 34.47%
- This year eps is negative and in the future it's growing again therefore 2025 is a good year to accumulate
TTD at or close to fair value. - A company growing eps 30%+ deserves a forward p/e of 30 as a base case
- Fair stock value (base case) with forward p/e of 30
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
fair value | 24.6 | 32.7 | 42.3 | 56
- Fair stock value (bull case) with forward p/e of 40
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
fair value | 32 | 43 | 56 | 75
- Fair stock value (bear case) with forward p/e of 20
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
fair value | 16 | 21 | 28 | 37.8
- Personally, I have started accumulating but ideally want to add significantly in that accumulation box I have highlighted in the chart.
- Note: I have linked my old posts where I shorted
TTD and went long TTD 
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.