$TTD | Smart Money Accumulation or Just a Dead Cat Bounce?

50
WaverVanir International LLC Analysis
🧠 Weekly Chart | Smart Money Concepts (SMC) | June 25, 2025

After a dramatic markdown, The Trade Desk (TTD) has bounced sharply off a major strong low / demand zone (~$40–$45). We’re currently trading near $69.80, building bullish momentum toward the equilibrium zone at $80.55.

🔍 Technical Highlights:
🔴 CHoCH and multiple BOS confirm prior bearish control.

🟢 Price swept liquidity under March lows — classic smart money accumulation pattern.

🟡 Targeting Equilibrium Zone (~$80.55) → Potential reversal or distribution area.

🔺 Above that, inefficiency exists toward $134.09 Premium Zone — ideal for a liquidity grab.

📉 If rejected, expect another markdown targeting the original discount zone.

🔮 Key Levels:
✅ Support: $45.00 | Strong Low

🎯 TP1: $80.55 | Equilibrium

🎯 TP2: $134.09 | Weak High (Liquidity Zone)

❌ Invalid Below: $37.00

🧠 Possible Catalysts Ahead:
Q2 2025 Earnings (Expected late July) – Guidance revision could be a major driver.

AdTech Sector Rotation – Market rebalancing between Meta, Google, Roku, TTD.

Macro Pressure – Rising rates, liquidity tightening, and ad-spending revisions.

AI Integration Narrative – TTD may get a valuation bump from alignment with AI/ML targeting.

M&A Speculation – Strategic acquisition or partnership in programmatic space.

📌 Summary:
Accumulation appears underway, but SMC tells us to wait for signs at equilibrium and weak high zones. Monitor volume behavior and institutional tracks. Patience and precision will separate traders from liquidity.

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