On our last Dow Jones (DJI) analysis (May 24, see chart below), we called for the high probability of a bearish break-out below the Channel Down, following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross (similar to April 02):

As you can see, Dow delivered, so our 38350 Target got hit, with minimum losses on the buy position at the bottom of the Channel Up. Yesterday's rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) though, is far from ideal and opens the way for more downside.
The chart shows DJI's long-term pattern, which has been a Channel Up since the October 03 2022 market bottom. The periodic corrections through Bearish Legs have both declined by -9.25%, a striking resemblance indeed. Yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection basically resembles those of the past Bearish Legs on March 06 2023 and October 17 2023.
Ahead of the 1D MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross, which could be completed by tomorrow, there is high probability for a deeper Low, at least as Low as Support 1 (37250). This would be ideal as it would also make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 7 months (since November 03 2023)!
After that though, we will turn into long-term buyers again, even though that wouldn't complete the -9.25% decline of the previous Bearish Legs, but in terms of R/R would be acceptable enough to aim for 40000 before the Channel Up goes for a Higher High.
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As you can see, Dow delivered, so our 38350 Target got hit, with minimum losses on the buy position at the bottom of the Channel Up. Yesterday's rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) though, is far from ideal and opens the way for more downside.
The chart shows DJI's long-term pattern, which has been a Channel Up since the October 03 2022 market bottom. The periodic corrections through Bearish Legs have both declined by -9.25%, a striking resemblance indeed. Yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection basically resembles those of the past Bearish Legs on March 06 2023 and October 17 2023.
Ahead of the 1D MA50/ 100 Bearish Cross, which could be completed by tomorrow, there is high probability for a deeper Low, at least as Low as Support 1 (37250). This would be ideal as it would also make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 7 months (since November 03 2023)!
After that though, we will turn into long-term buyers again, even though that wouldn't complete the -9.25% decline of the previous Bearish Legs, but in terms of R/R would be acceptable enough to aim for 40000 before the Channel Up goes for a Higher High.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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👑Best Signals (Forex/Crypto+70% accuracy) & Account Management (+20% profit/month on 10k accounts)
💰Free Channel t.me/tradingshotglobal
🤵Contact info@tradingshot.com t.me/tradingshot
🔥New service: next X100 crypto GEMS!
💰Free Channel t.me/tradingshotglobal
🤵Contact info@tradingshot.com t.me/tradingshot
🔥New service: next X100 crypto GEMS!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.