USD/CAD(20250716)Today's Analysis

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Market news:
① The annual rate of the overall CPI in the United States in June rose to 2.7%, the highest since February, in line with market expectations, and the monthly rate was 0.3%, the highest since January, in line with market expectations; the annual rate of the core CPI rose to 2.9%, the highest since February, lower than the expected 3%, but slightly higher than 2.8% last month, and the monthly rate was 0.2%, lower than the market expectation of 0.3%.
② Interest rate futures still show that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates this month, but there is a high possibility of a 25 basis point cut in September.
③ Fed mouthpiece: The CPI report will not change the Fed's policy direction.
④ Trump: Consumer prices are low and the federal funds rate should be lowered immediately. The Fed should cut interest rates by 3 percentage points.
⑤ Fed Collins: The core inflation rate is expected to remain at about 3% by the end of the year, and the Fed should maintain active patience.

Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3708

Support and resistance levels:
1.3766
1.3744
1.3730
1.3685
1.3671
1.3650

Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3730, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3744
If the price breaks through 1.3708, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3685

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