U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc
Short
Updated

#001 USD/CHF SHORT Investment Opportunity 8H

112


Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a SHORT investment on USD/CHF that I identified by applying my SwipeUP Method, a quantitative strategy based on 14 analysis modules.

This operation is a perfect example of how the combination of technical, cyclical, statistical and sentiment analysis can offer a professional edge, just like the best hedge funds in the world do.

📌 Operational Details
Entry (box intersection): ~0.83420

Stop Loss (end of red box): 0.84021

Take Profit (end of green box): 0.82068

Risk: ~60 pips

Target: ~135 pips

Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.25

🔍 Complete analysis according to the SwipeUP Method (14 modules)
1. 📉 Multi-timeframe technical analysis
The trend on 8H and daily is clearly bearish.
The recent rise represents a technical pullback, already rejected in the Fibonacci area. The 200 average is far above the price.
We currently observe a decreasing triple top and the first close below the fast EMA.

✔️ Solid short structure.

2. 📊 Technical indicators
WaveTrend: bearish crossover confirmed

Stochastic: sharp drop from overbought

EMA: all aligned to the downside, price has broken them decisively

✔️ Short confirmation from all indicators.

3. 📈 Cyclical and harmonic
Pullback completed on the 0.618 Fibonacci zone

Harmonic formation type M → classic reversal

✔️ Bearish cyclical phase.

4. 📐 Mathematics/statistics
Precise retracement at 61.8%

Break of the ascending trendline → textbook setup

✔️ Statistics in favor of the downside.

5. 🧠 Sentiment and positioning
The retail is slightly long on USD/CHF.
This confirms the validity of my short positioning → against the mass.

✔️ Smart positioning.

6. 🌍 Fundamental/macroeconomics
CHF strong due to risk-off climate

USD weak due to FED rate stalemate

✔️ Fundamentals consistent with a downside.

7. 📈 Implied volatility
In bearish expansion phase

Current candlestick with full body → start of strong movement

✔️ Ideal timing.

8. 📚 Historical backtesting
Similar patterns on USD/CHF (triple top + return below EMA + 61.8%) →
✔️ have reached the target in 76% of cases in the last 3 years.

9. 🧪 SwipeUP validation
All modules are consistent.
No conflicting signals. The model is fully validated.

✔️ Green light for the operation.

10. 📡 Updated data
No significant USD or CHF economic events expected in the next few hours.
✔️ Favorable environment to follow the technical flow.

11. ⏱️ Operational timing
The breakout has already occurred, and the structure is ready to push.
✔️ Perfect entry on the initial phase.

12. 📖 50-year history
In the summer months and in CHF safe-haven conditions, USD/CHF has a high probability of prolonged post-pullback falls.

✔️ Historical consistency.

13. ⚖️ Risk/Reward
R/R of 1:2.25 with technical stop and logical target.

Well-constructed box and respectful of the method.

✔️ Fully controlled risk.
Trade closed: target reached

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