๐ Pair: 
USDJPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen)
๐ Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
๐ Price: 144.22
๐ Pattern: Head & Shoulders (macro top)
๐ Technical Setup:
USDJPY has formed a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential multi-thousand pip reversal if the neckline fails.
๐ฉ Left Shoulder โ Head โ Right Shoulder structure is clear
๐ป Neckline sits near 137.00 โ a major support zone
๐บ Pattern took over a year to form โ signals significant macro exhaustion
๐ง Trade Plan & Targets:
โ๏ธ Trigger: Weekly close below 137.00 (neckline breakdown)
โ๏ธ Invalidation: Close back above 151.00 (right shoulder high)
๐ฏ Target 1: 126.90
โ ๐ Move: -1,832 pips
๐ฏ Target 2: 118.80
โ ๐ Move: -2,547 pips
๐ญ Both targets are based on measured move logic from the height of the head to the neckline, projected downward.
โ ๏ธ Key Observations:
Sideways price action forming the right shoulder = distribution zone
Breakdown would shift trend from bullish to bearish on a long-term scale
Potential for carry trade unwind and safe-haven yen demand if macro tensions rise
๐ฌ Are we on the verge of a major USD reversal vs the yen?
๐ Watch for a confirmed weekly break below 137.00 โ this setup could define Q3โQ4.
#USDJPY #Forex #HeadAndShoulders #JPYStrength #TrendReversal #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
๐ Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
๐ Price: 144.22
๐ Pattern: Head & Shoulders (macro top)
๐ Technical Setup:
USDJPY has formed a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential multi-thousand pip reversal if the neckline fails.
๐ฉ Left Shoulder โ Head โ Right Shoulder structure is clear
๐ป Neckline sits near 137.00 โ a major support zone
๐บ Pattern took over a year to form โ signals significant macro exhaustion
๐ง Trade Plan & Targets:
โ๏ธ Trigger: Weekly close below 137.00 (neckline breakdown)
โ๏ธ Invalidation: Close back above 151.00 (right shoulder high)
๐ฏ Target 1: 126.90
โ ๐ Move: -1,832 pips
๐ฏ Target 2: 118.80
โ ๐ Move: -2,547 pips
๐ญ Both targets are based on measured move logic from the height of the head to the neckline, projected downward.
โ ๏ธ Key Observations:
Sideways price action forming the right shoulder = distribution zone
Breakdown would shift trend from bullish to bearish on a long-term scale
Potential for carry trade unwind and safe-haven yen demand if macro tensions rise
๐ฌ Are we on the verge of a major USD reversal vs the yen?
๐ Watch for a confirmed weekly break below 137.00 โ this setup could define Q3โQ4.
#USDJPY #Forex #HeadAndShoulders #JPYStrength #TrendReversal #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.