USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast - Top-Down Analysis |
mid-week forecast for USDJPY — let’s break it down top to bottom:
🕰️ Weekly Outlook:
No clear structure or trend bias from the weekly candle 🕯️
However, price closed below the Weekly 50 EMA 📉, leaving a bearish upper wick
This signals a possible continuation to the downside this week
But — as always — wicks tend to get filled first on lower timeframes before short setups play out
📌 Key Reminder:
"Sell from the highs, buy from the lows." 🔁
📆 Daily Structure:
Daily candles have been pushing into lower-timeframe POIs
This aligns with potential sell zones, building confluence
If candles continue to push up, we're watching closely for rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA
⚠️ Don’t be thrown off by a bullish weekly candle midweek — we're anticipating a rejection wick and bearish close.
Let structure confirm.
⏱️ Lower Time Frame Confluence:
🔻 Primary Short Bias (High Confidence Zone):
🔸 4H POI containing:
A clean Order Block (OB)
A void (imbalance)
🔹 Within that, a 1H OB + void adds strong confluence 🔐
Once price enters the zone:
⬇️ Scale to 5-min
Wait for Break of Structure (BoS)
Execute the short ✅
🔺 Optional Long Setup (If Structure Shifts):
While short bias is primary, longs are not off the table
A separate POI based on 4H / 1H / 15' exists for a possible long
If price hits this zone:
Wait for LTF BoS (1' or 5')
Consider long entries, only if confluence stacks
🧠 Key Takeaways:
Weekly close below 50 EMA = bearish tilt, but lower timeframe confirmation needed
Let the wicks fill before forcing shorts
Only take longs with strong confluence
As always — one trade at a time, risk managed, confluence stacked
Trade safe, stay disciplined.
FRGNT
https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/x/saMeBzFU/
USDJPY
mid-week forecast for USDJPY — let’s break it down top to bottom:
🕰️ Weekly Outlook:
No clear structure or trend bias from the weekly candle 🕯️
However, price closed below the Weekly 50 EMA 📉, leaving a bearish upper wick
This signals a possible continuation to the downside this week
But — as always — wicks tend to get filled first on lower timeframes before short setups play out
📌 Key Reminder:
"Sell from the highs, buy from the lows." 🔁
📆 Daily Structure:
Daily candles have been pushing into lower-timeframe POIs
This aligns with potential sell zones, building confluence
If candles continue to push up, we're watching closely for rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA
⚠️ Don’t be thrown off by a bullish weekly candle midweek — we're anticipating a rejection wick and bearish close.
Let structure confirm.
⏱️ Lower Time Frame Confluence:
🔻 Primary Short Bias (High Confidence Zone):
🔸 4H POI containing:
A clean Order Block (OB)
A void (imbalance)
🔹 Within that, a 1H OB + void adds strong confluence 🔐
Once price enters the zone:
⬇️ Scale to 5-min
Wait for Break of Structure (BoS)
Execute the short ✅
🔺 Optional Long Setup (If Structure Shifts):
While short bias is primary, longs are not off the table
A separate POI based on 4H / 1H / 15' exists for a possible long
If price hits this zone:
Wait for LTF BoS (1' or 5')
Consider long entries, only if confluence stacks
🧠 Key Takeaways:
Weekly close below 50 EMA = bearish tilt, but lower timeframe confirmation needed
Let the wicks fill before forcing shorts
Only take longs with strong confluence
As always — one trade at a time, risk managed, confluence stacked
Trade safe, stay disciplined.
FRGNT
https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/x/saMeBzFU/
USDJPY 
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.