U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
Short
Updated

USDJPY Outlook: Weekly Bearish Bias Despite Temporary Rebalance

65
Greetings Traders,

It's the start of a new trading week, and our focus is on the Gopher — USDJPY .


Weekly Overview: Temporary Rebalance, Bearish Tone Intact
On the weekly chart, USDJPY pushed higher to rebalance a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 149.30 and 148.26. Following this, price was swiftly rejected, forming a shooting star candlestick — a classic sign of potential bearish continuation.

However, for this bearish outlook to remain valid, 146.250 must hold as resistance. A sustained break above this level could invalidate the current bias and signal the possibility of further upside.

Daily Chart: Downside Pressure Builds
Looking at the daily timeframe, we see a sequence of down-close candles, indicating consistent selling pressure. I expect price to continue pushing lower, targeting the FVG below, with a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity resting under recent lows.

Trading Plan: Bearish Setup
Unless disrupted by high-impact fundamentals, I’ll be favouring short positions this week. My planned setup is as follows:
  • Entry: On confirmation within the 145.63 zone
  • Stop Loss: Above 145.97
  • Target Zones: Around 144.430



I’ll monitor price reaction closely at key levels to manage the trade accordingly.
Note
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