Over the past three trading sessions, USD/JPY has risen by more than 1%, favoring the U.S. dollar, as the yen continues to weaken steadily. The bullish bias has persisted, supported by a rebound in dollar strength. The DXY index, which measures the dollar's performance against other major currencies, has been climbing in the short term and is once again approaching the 100-point mark, signaling growing confidence in the dollar’s movements. If this dollar strength persists, buying pressure in USD/JPY may become increasingly dominant.
Consistent Downtrend
Since early January of this year, USD/JPY has been consolidating consistent downward movements, shaping a solid bearish trend that has lasted through recent months. Currently, price action is once again testing a resistance zone, aligned with the downtrend line, but buying momentum has not been strong enough to break through. As a result, the dominant trend remains bearish, unless a significant bullish breakout manages to disrupt the pattern.
Neutrality in Indicators
At the moment, the RSI line is oscillating near the 50 level, while the MACD histogram remains close to the zero line. These patterns suggest a state of equilibrium between buying and selling pressure, which has led to a series of neutral movements. As long as both indicators remain in this range, it reflects a lack of dominance by either market force in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
Consistent Downtrend
Since early January of this year, USD/JPY has been consolidating consistent downward movements, shaping a solid bearish trend that has lasted through recent months. Currently, price action is once again testing a resistance zone, aligned with the downtrend line, but buying momentum has not been strong enough to break through. As a result, the dominant trend remains bearish, unless a significant bullish breakout manages to disrupt the pattern.
Neutrality in Indicators
At the moment, the RSI line is oscillating near the 50 level, while the MACD histogram remains close to the zero line. These patterns suggest a state of equilibrium between buying and selling pressure, which has led to a series of neutral movements. As long as both indicators remain in this range, it reflects a lack of dominance by either market force in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
- 145.470 – Short-Term Barrier: A level where potential bearish corrections could emerge, especially as price remains near the downtrend line under conditions of neutrality.
- 148.012 – Major Resistance: This corresponds to the recent multi-month highs. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the prevailing bearish trend.
- 142.367 – Critical Support: A level aligned with the lowest prices of recent months, which has been repeatedly respected, increasing its strength in the short term. A breakdown here could trigger a renewed bearish bias, reinforcing the ongoing downward trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.