🗓️ USDJPY Long Bias Forecast
Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session
Top-Down Technical Outlook
🔹 Weekly Timeframe
Price Action: Strong rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA, acting as dynamic support.
Note: With two trading days left in the week, the previous weekly wick remains a key area — it may still fill, suggesting further upside potential.
Implication: Structure suggests continuation to the upside, but current price must confirm with internal shifts before entry.
🔹 Daily Timeframe
Current Price: Hovering around the Daily 50 EMA – a key equilibrium level.
Expectation: Potential bullish reaction if buyers defend this zone.
Risk Consideration: Aggressive long entries must be approached cautiously without a confirmed change in internal structure (CHOIS).
🔹 4H Timeframe
Confluence:
Bullish wick closure on the last candle suggests rejection from lower prices.
Order Block (OB) identified near Daily 50 EMA – an ideal POI.
Narrative: Structure is preparing for a potential shift. Look for breaks of internal structure (BOS) to confirm bullish intent.
🔹 1H Timeframe
Candlestick Confirmation: Last 3 consecutive bullish candles forming a classic bullish continuation pattern.
Order Block in alignment with 4H and Daily 50 EMA adds weight to the area.
Bias: Bullish – pending confirmation via BOS and clean pullbacks.
🔹 5-Minute Timeframe
Microstructure:
Refined entry points within OB zone.
Ideal for tight stop entries post BOS and retest of lower-timeframe OB.
Watch For:
Shift from bearish to bullish market structure.
Entry following a break + retest of a demand zone or OB.
✅ Confluences for Longs
Rejection from Weekly 50 EMA.
Price respecting Daily 50 EMA.
4H OB + Bullish candle closure.
1H Bullish formation + OB.
5M potential BOS/CHOIS for refined entry.
⚠️ Cautions / Trade Management
Wait for internal structure shift on lower timeframes before full commitment.
Liquidity sweeps below current price are still possible before upside continuation.
Maintain awareness of macroeconomic catalysts (e.g., U.S. or Japan economic data or central bank commentary).
FRGNT
https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/x/ysPuXzRj/
USDJPY
Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session
Top-Down Technical Outlook
🔹 Weekly Timeframe
Price Action: Strong rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA, acting as dynamic support.
Note: With two trading days left in the week, the previous weekly wick remains a key area — it may still fill, suggesting further upside potential.
Implication: Structure suggests continuation to the upside, but current price must confirm with internal shifts before entry.
🔹 Daily Timeframe
Current Price: Hovering around the Daily 50 EMA – a key equilibrium level.
Expectation: Potential bullish reaction if buyers defend this zone.
Risk Consideration: Aggressive long entries must be approached cautiously without a confirmed change in internal structure (CHOIS).
🔹 4H Timeframe
Confluence:
Bullish wick closure on the last candle suggests rejection from lower prices.
Order Block (OB) identified near Daily 50 EMA – an ideal POI.
Narrative: Structure is preparing for a potential shift. Look for breaks of internal structure (BOS) to confirm bullish intent.
🔹 1H Timeframe
Candlestick Confirmation: Last 3 consecutive bullish candles forming a classic bullish continuation pattern.
Order Block in alignment with 4H and Daily 50 EMA adds weight to the area.
Bias: Bullish – pending confirmation via BOS and clean pullbacks.
🔹 5-Minute Timeframe
Microstructure:
Refined entry points within OB zone.
Ideal for tight stop entries post BOS and retest of lower-timeframe OB.
Watch For:
Shift from bearish to bullish market structure.
Entry following a break + retest of a demand zone or OB.
✅ Confluences for Longs
Rejection from Weekly 50 EMA.
Price respecting Daily 50 EMA.
4H OB + Bullish candle closure.
1H Bullish formation + OB.
5M potential BOS/CHOIS for refined entry.
⚠️ Cautions / Trade Management
Wait for internal structure shift on lower timeframes before full commitment.
Liquidity sweeps below current price are still possible before upside continuation.
Maintain awareness of macroeconomic catalysts (e.g., U.S. or Japan economic data or central bank commentary).
FRGNT
https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/x/ysPuXzRj/
USDJPY 
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.