Bias: ✅ Strong Sell
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: USDJPY
Week: 26–30 May 2025
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDJPY is sitting on a critical support zone around 142.55. A decisive break and 4H close below this level would confirm a bearish continuation.
Entry: Break below 142.55
Stop Loss: Above resistance at 142.80
Take Profit: Major support around 140.05
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4R
Structure: Lower highs, pressure on demand – momentum building
🧠 Macro Confluence:
📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, worsening macro (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓)
💴 JPY Strength: Seasonal bias, bullish COT positioning, risk-off sentiment
🧾 COT: JPY net long positions at 92% RSI
📊 Conditional Scores: JPY ↑, USD ↓
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: VIX 22.68 – risk-off favors JPY
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Wait for confirmation candle before entry
Watch FOMC + GDP (USD) for volatility spikes
Consider scaling in on retest of broken support
📌 Let the level break before jumping in. Precision matters.
Share your thoughts or charts below 👇
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: USDJPY
Week: 26–30 May 2025
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDJPY is sitting on a critical support zone around 142.55. A decisive break and 4H close below this level would confirm a bearish continuation.
Entry: Break below 142.55
Stop Loss: Above resistance at 142.80
Take Profit: Major support around 140.05
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4R
Structure: Lower highs, pressure on demand – momentum building
🧠 Macro Confluence:
📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, worsening macro (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓)
💴 JPY Strength: Seasonal bias, bullish COT positioning, risk-off sentiment
🧾 COT: JPY net long positions at 92% RSI
📊 Conditional Scores: JPY ↑, USD ↓
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: VIX 22.68 – risk-off favors JPY
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Wait for confirmation candle before entry
Watch FOMC + GDP (USD) for volatility spikes
Consider scaling in on retest of broken support
📌 Let the level break before jumping in. Precision matters.
Share your thoughts or charts below 👇
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.