USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The Chaptian

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SMC trading point update



Technical analysis iUSD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a rejection from resistance zones and a potential move toward lower support levels.


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Analysis Breakdown

Technical Components:

1. Resistance Zones:

Primary Resistance: Near 145.500 (upper yellow box), which has previously been rejected multiple times (red arrows).

FVG (Fair Value Gap) Resistance Level: Around 144.400, also acting as strong resistance, especially near the EMA 200.



2. Downtrend Line:

The price is moving below a downward trendline, respecting bearish structure.

Last rejection from both the trendline and FVG zone confirms selling pressure.



3. EMA 200 (144.075):

Price is hovering around this level, showing indecision.

Bearish bias remains unless price breaks and holds above it.



4. Target Zone:

A clearly marked support level around 142.543, shown as the bearish target.

Includes multiple event markers (potential news catalysts or key dates), suggesting added volatility.



5. RSI (14):

Currently near 55.23, with a prior rejection from higher RSI levels.

Bearish divergence not clear, but no overbought conditions.





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Bearish Idea Summary:

Thesis: Rejection from resistance zones + trendline + EMA suggests continuation to downside.

Expecting: Price to either:

Retest the upper resistance zone (around 145.000–145.500) and reject again, or

Break below current levels and continue lower toward 142.543.




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Trade Idea Concept:

Entry Option 1: Sell on confirmed rejection from FVG zone or upper resistance.

Entry Option 2: Sell on break and retest below 144.000.

Target: 142.543 (support zone).

Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone or trendline (e.g., >145.600).




Mr SMC Trading point


Risks to Watch:

Invalidation: Clean break and close above 145.500 would invalidate the bearish setup.

News Impact: Note the icons near the target zone – monitor economic releases around that time.



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