CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Short
Updated

Crude Oil Elliott Wave Idea

465
Update to previous WXYXZ idea >
Crude Oil Elliott Wave


I probably shouldn't get too hooked on the idea that this pattern appears the same as the one back in June as I could end up missing what's actually going on.

Below is the period between 18th June and 21st June with what appears to be a large extended flat correction with B wave a WXY > snapshot

Y extended 1.414 of W to complete B then C down to the 1.272 extension of A.

Since last Friday we appear to have a similar structure and today could be B wave > snapshot

Y of B extended to 1.272 of W to complete what could be B wave, and potentially now C to the 1.272 extension.

If it goes much higher I will have to admit defeat in my battle to master WXY and WXYXZ corrections :)
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POssible count so far, wave 3 completed possibly snapshot
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Looks like we're in wave 4 now, possibly subwave 4 of 3 currently unable to break above .236 level > snapshot

We may see two more legs down, one to complete subwave 5, then a correction before the larger degree wave 5 to around the 68 level
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More bearish possibility, if the first wave down is completed snapshot
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Looks like the correction is coming to an end > snapshot A wave starting wedge, followed by ABC and 5 waves up to 1.618 of A; possibly one more wave up depending how you view it
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If you look at June correction after the drop there was expanded flat > snapshot B and C waves left the channel. If you look at now > snapshot C is currently mid channel which means it could be a running flat and we move up from here in a big way. Very hard to get an entry for position here.
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A couple of correction scenarios > snapshot > snapshot
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Now have divergence, a bearish candle and hit .618 > snapshot If it doesn't drop now I guess it won't
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Target reached
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6690 broken, this bullish count invalid now.

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