📍Instrument: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)
📊Timeframe: 15M | Methodology: Smart Money Concepts + Fibonacci + Volume Profile + ORB
🔍Framework: VolanX DSS | WaverVanir International LLC
📈 Trade Thesis
While much of the world remains fixated on short-term rate expectations and gold/oil volatility, this chart reflects clear SMC structure aligned with the macro backdrop:
Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and strategic energy hoarding by global players continue to apply pressure to oil supply narratives.
Inventories remain tight while BRICS+ nations move toward commodity-backed currency talks—oil being the anchor.
The Fed’s neutral stance combined with softening global PMIs points to a fragile growth phase, supporting rebalancing trades into tangible assets like oil.
🧠 Technical Breakdown
Premium/Discount Model in Play:
Current price retraced after rejecting the premium zone at 77.10 with strong bearish volume and confluence at the 1.0 Fib level.
Buy Zone 1:
Around 75.26, near 0.618 retracement—ideal for short-term scalpers with tight invalidation.
Buy Zone 2:
74.18–73.85 marked as Discount OB zone + ORB LOD + VWAP deviation.
Liquidity engineered below BOS—favorable risk-reward for swing re-entry.
Volume Spike Confirmation near 73.90 during London session sweep = high-probability demand.
🧭 Trade Plan
✅ Entry #1: 75.26 – Speculative order flow entry
✅ Entry #2: 74.18 – Confirmed bullish OB zone
🛑 SL: Below 73.70 (invalidates BOS reclaim + OB)
🎯 TP: 77.10 (weak high) and partials at 76.00–76.50
⚠️ Trailing stop after reclaiming 75.70
🧠 Narrative Alignment
As the world shifts toward resource realism, oil becomes more than a trade—it's a proxy for power, policy, and protectionism. This isn’t just a chart—it's a window into the realignment of global influence.
📌 Volatility will be harvested. Order will emerge from imbalance.
—
#CrudeOil #SmartMoneyConcepts #WTI #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #OrderFlow #EnergyMarkets #BRICS #FibonacciStrategy #LiquiditySweep #TradingView #TraderMindset
📊Timeframe: 15M | Methodology: Smart Money Concepts + Fibonacci + Volume Profile + ORB
🔍Framework: VolanX DSS | WaverVanir International LLC
📈 Trade Thesis
While much of the world remains fixated on short-term rate expectations and gold/oil volatility, this chart reflects clear SMC structure aligned with the macro backdrop:
Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and strategic energy hoarding by global players continue to apply pressure to oil supply narratives.
Inventories remain tight while BRICS+ nations move toward commodity-backed currency talks—oil being the anchor.
The Fed’s neutral stance combined with softening global PMIs points to a fragile growth phase, supporting rebalancing trades into tangible assets like oil.
🧠 Technical Breakdown
Premium/Discount Model in Play:
Current price retraced after rejecting the premium zone at 77.10 with strong bearish volume and confluence at the 1.0 Fib level.
Buy Zone 1:
Around 75.26, near 0.618 retracement—ideal for short-term scalpers with tight invalidation.
Buy Zone 2:
74.18–73.85 marked as Discount OB zone + ORB LOD + VWAP deviation.
Liquidity engineered below BOS—favorable risk-reward for swing re-entry.
Volume Spike Confirmation near 73.90 during London session sweep = high-probability demand.
🧭 Trade Plan
✅ Entry #1: 75.26 – Speculative order flow entry
✅ Entry #2: 74.18 – Confirmed bullish OB zone
🛑 SL: Below 73.70 (invalidates BOS reclaim + OB)
🎯 TP: 77.10 (weak high) and partials at 76.00–76.50
⚠️ Trailing stop after reclaiming 75.70
🧠 Narrative Alignment
As the world shifts toward resource realism, oil becomes more than a trade—it's a proxy for power, policy, and protectionism. This isn’t just a chart—it's a window into the realignment of global influence.
📌 Volatility will be harvested. Order will emerge from imbalance.
—
#CrudeOil #SmartMoneyConcepts #WTI #MacroTrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #OrderFlow #EnergyMarkets #BRICS #FibonacciStrategy #LiquiditySweep #TradingView #TraderMindset
Note
📰 Macro & News DriversGeopolitical tension escalations—especially U.S./Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites—have driven WTI up 2.5–3% daily, sending it to 5-month highs (~$75–$78)
marketwatch.com
+2
reuters.com
+2
investing.com
+2
.
Supply-side anxiety is amplified: Iran threatened Strait of Hormuz closures, triggering a 26% surge in the OVX volatility index to its highest level in over three years
marketwatch.com
.
Fundamental pressures: The U.S. saw a massive ~11.5 million-barrel crude draw (the largest in a year), indicating real demand tightening
investing.com
+15
reuters.com
+15
marketwatch.com
+15
.
Note
Note
We are not buying right now. Let the price fall. DSS sequence is on. Let's observe the timeline. Note
🌍 WaverVanir Intelligence Brief📅 June 22, 2025
OIL AT A BREAKING POINT — IS $160 CRUDE AHEAD?
The world just shifted. Following direct strikes by the US and Israel on Iranian nuclear facilities, Iran is threatening to block the Strait of Hormuz—a critical chokepoint for nearly 30% of global oil flow.
🛢 Current Oil Price: $74
⚠️ Breakout Level: $76
📈 Projected Shock Scenario: $160+/barrel
At WaverVanir International LLC, we’re not reacting to headlines—we’re running live scenario models through our in-house Decision Support System (DSS). And right now, our signals are clear:
🔺 Inflation risk is rising
📉 S&P 500 downside risk is escalating
🪙 Real assets (gold, silver, oil) are back in focus
💼 Defensive capital rotation is underway
This is not a drill—and it’s not just another Middle East conflict. We are likely entering a new phase of global energy volatility with direct economic consequences.
🧭 WaverVanir stands for strategic foresight and action during chaos.
When markets fracture, our mission is simple: Extract clarity, position intelligently, and protect capital.
📊 More analysis to follow as the data evolves.
#WaverVanir #MacroStrategy #OilCrisis #WTI #Geopolitics #Gold #Commodities #Volatility #MarketUpdate #EnergyMarkets #DSS #VolanX #FinancialLeadership #GlobalRisk
Note
Using our proprietary Decision Support System (DSS) powered by predictive analytics and sentiment scoring, we just ran a forecast for CL=F (WTI Crude Oil Futures).
📊 Current Price: $74.93
📉 15-Day Forecast: $71.53 (-4.5%)
📉 30-Day Forecast: $67.79 (-9.5%)
📥 Sentiment Score Used: 68 (Bullish bias, cautious due to volatility)
🧠 Our model integrates:
Options market flow
Volatility index (OVX at 71.56)
Retail & institutional sentiment
Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, VWAP)
🔺 Despite short-term bullishness, our AI model warns of a potential correction—aligning with rising uncertainty around geopolitical risk and demand-side pressure.
🛡️ As global tensions elevate crude volatility, WaverVanir DSS helps traders, institutions, and strategists stay one step ahead through actionable forecasts.
📍Powered by WaverVanir International LLC | #VolanX #AITrading #EnergyForecast
Note
I am not going to enter the trade when my analyisis is not verified by the dss. So no trades yet!Note
Trade active
ShortingNote
Trade closed: target reached
Congrats team. That's why we are the best!
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.